Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,889.
Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Profitable macro serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate is buying SPX Up at 82¢ ahead of the open.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $16.6k lifetime.
- They have traded 38 related event markets with $103k total volume, suggesting a repeatable macro strategy.
- Entry at 82¢ is a high-conviction bet that SPX opens above the prior close.
$1,785 on Up | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial macro trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader put a $3.1k bet on SPX opening Up in a relatively quiet market, and the price has already moved from 74¢ to 80¢.
- This bettor has a long track record: 505 resolved trades, 64% wins, and $55k in profit.
- They have traded across 28 events with $302k deployed, suggesting a repeat macro strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- The $3.1k buy was large for this market and moved from 74¢ entry to about 80¢ now.
$3,104 on Up | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0x7096...5907 — Outcome 70411323, $1,000
- 0x5e73...6697 — Outcome 70411323, $867 (68% win rate)
- 0xaff2...9070 — Outcome 70411323, $665
- 0x6885...973e — Outcome 70411323, $225
- 0xaee1...77fc — Outcome 70411323, $200
- 0x736e...682c — Outcome 70411323, $120
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 70411323, $100
- 0x6d66...af0d — Outcome 70411323, $60 (62% win rate)
- 0xe0f3...9fea — Outcome 70411323, $55
- 0xa3e2...fdf8 — Outcome 70411323, $54
Related Theses
Iran deal timing arbitrage
Covers 5 related markets
