S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,104.

Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

Profitable serial macro trader

Profitable serial cross-market trader put a $3.1k bet on SPX opening Up in a relatively quiet market, and the price has already moved from 74¢ to 80¢.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 505 resolved trades, 64% wins, and $55k in profit.
  • They have traded across 28 events with $302k deployed, suggesting a repeat macro strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $3.1k buy was large for this market and moved from 74¢ entry to about 80¢ now.

$3,104 on Up | Wallet win rate: 64%

Top Holders

  1. 0x264c...baca Up, $2,343 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 Down, $1,691 (48% win rate)
  3. 0xd01f...ce7a Up, $1,120 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x7e80...631b Down, $907
  5. 0xebe2...ab0a Down, $500
  6. 0x08bf...df57 Up, $416
  7. 0x3bbd...508d Down, $414
  8. 0x24cc...3947 Down, $394
  9. 0x1030...3e3a Up, $350
  10. 0xf4bf...23f6 Down, $325

Related Theses

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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?

14h$3,104 tracked1 signalSPXUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From NewRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Up
81¢
Down
19¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on May 6 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Price History — “Up
83¢
68¢
53¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 6?

1h ago

$3,104 on Up at 74¢

74¢81¢7¢

Related Theses