S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
4 signals across 1 market · $20,787 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the S&P 500 (SPX) will close up or down on Monday, May 11, 2026 versus the prior trading day’s official close. PolySpotter is monitoring the event’s prediction-market odds and has flagged $1,883 in smart money activity, including a 6-wallet funded cluster signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 93% serial trader exits Up
Surfaced due to a serial cross-market trader with a 93% resolved win rate selling Up near resolution, though the prior Up position suggests this may be position management rather than a clean new short.
$2,460Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 8.2 - 6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is backing Up, but this specific wallet has only a modest 53% win rate and the bet is small relative to market volume.
$1,883Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 7.6 - Profitable serial timer
Serial near-resolution trader with large lifetime profit is adding a $6.3k Up bet 43 minutes before SPX close amid a major volume and price spike.
$6,265Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.8 - Profitable serial timer buys late
Profitable serial near-resolution trader bought $10.2k of Up into a major volume spike about 40 minutes before SPX market resolution.
$10,179Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 6.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x969fae…4d55$16,444 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 59% wins
- 0x3b345c…cca8$2,460 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x162e0e…fe52$1,883 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
FAQs
What are the S&P 500 May 11 odds on Polymarket?
The event prices the probability that SPX closes higher or lower on May 11, 2026 compared with the most recent prior trading day. PolySpotter tracks the live Polymarket odds and smart money flows for this up/down outcome.
What does “Up” mean in this SPX prediction market?
“Up” resolves if the official S&P 500 Index closing price on May 11, 2026 is higher than the official SPX close on the most recent prior trading day.
What does “Down” mean in this market?
“Down” resolves if the official S&P 500 Index closing price on May 11, 2026 is lower than the previous trading day’s official close.
What is the smart money doing on this event?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,883 in smart money activity across the event and flagged one notable signal: a 6-wallet funded cluster. That suggests coordinated or related wallet activity worth watching as the market moves.
When does the S&P 500 May 11 market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official S&P 500 closing price is available on Monday, May 11, 2026, with resolution expected by 20:00 UTC.