Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?
This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on Monday, May 11, 2026 compared with the most recent prior trading day. It resolves after the official SPX closing price is published, with “Up” winning if the close is higher and “Down” winning if it is lower. PolySpotter is tracking $1,883 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, May 11, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, May 11, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,883.
Categories: Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, SPX, Finance, Daily-Close, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
6-wallet funded cluster
A known 6-wallet funded cluster is backing Up, but this specific wallet has only a modest 53% win rate and the bet is small relative to market volume.
- Six wallets from the same funder are active on this side, a coordinated-flow signal that has appeared in prior runs.
- This wallet is profitable overall, up $6.3K on $136.7K invested across 503 resolved bets.
- The cluster bought Up around 73¢ after an 8.5-point daily move, suggesting continued momentum positioning.
$1,883 on Up | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x969f...4d55 — Down, $88,547 (50% win rate)
- 0xdefe...17f4 — Up, $63,325 (62% win rate)
- 0x9f3c...d862 — Up, $25,504 (48% win rate)
- 0xf5bc...2c49 — Down, $17,723 (42% win rate)
- 0x89f6...fed7 — Up, $8,866 (52% win rate)
- 0x5fde...cbbe — Up, $4,827 (56% win rate)
- 0x959d...de65 — Up, $2,745
- 0x41f3...844e — Down, $1,289
- 0xecbe...42ff — Down, $1,200 (22% win rate)
- 0x1897...7438 — Up, $1,115 (68% win rate)
