S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?
2 signals across 1 market · $7,249 tracked · resolves May 14, 2026
This event tracks whether the S&P 500 Index (SPX) will close higher or lower on May 14, 2026 versus the prior trading day’s official close. PolySpotter monitors the Polymarket odds and smart-money activity across the event, including a signal from a 96% win-rate macro trader with $4,000 tracked.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% win-rate macro trader
Highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% historical win rate bought Up near 90¢ while the market broke sharply higher.
$4,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.0 - 96% serial macro bettor
Surfacing because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying SPX Up before the close.
$3,249Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x46992d…e03c$7,249 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the S&P 500 May 14 prediction market odds?
The odds reflect what Polymarket traders are currently pricing for whether SPX closes up or down on May 14, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live market and highlights notable smart-money activity as positions change.
What outcomes are being traded in this SPX event?
This event is about the S&P 500’s daily close on May 14, 2026. It resolves to “Up” if the official SPX closing price is higher than the prior trading day’s close, and “Down” if it is lower.
Is smart money betting on the S&P 500 going up or down?
PolySpotter has tracked $4,000 of smart-money activity in this event, including a recent signal tied to a 96% win-rate macro trader. Check the event page for the latest direction, entry timing, and market impact.
When does the S&P 500 May 14 market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official S&P 500 Index closing price is available for Thursday, May 14, 2026, with resolution expected by 20:00 UTC.
How is the S&P 500 up or down result determined?
The result is based on the official S&P 500 Index closing price. If the May 14 close is above the most recent prior trading day’s close, the market resolves Up; if it is below, it resolves Down.