Part of: S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $7,249.

Categories: SPX, Up or Down, Daily, Indicies, Finance, Daily-Close, Rewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

96% serial macro bettor

Surfacing because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying SPX Up before the close.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $34k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 44 events and 53 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
  • They bought Up at 90¢ with SPX odds already moving sharply higher today.

$3,249 on Up | Wallet win rate: 97%

96% win-rate macro trader

Highly proven serial cross-market trader with a 96% historical win rate bought Up near 90¢ while the market broke sharply higher.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades, with 734 past results and $34K in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 43 events and over $314K in similar positioning.
  • Their $4K buy helped confirm a sharp move higher, with Up up 19 points today and breaking past its prior range.

$4,000 on Up | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f3c...d862 Outcome 26429332, $3,157 (53% win rate)
  2. 0x3d17...04de Outcome 26429332, $1,366
  3. 0xf5bc...2c49 Outcome 26429332, $1,350 (44% win rate)
  4. 0x5466...0247 Outcome 26429332, $1,301
  5. 0x6f2a...de7d Outcome 26429332, $600
  6. 0x0e71...be4c Outcome 26429332, $470 (88% win rate)
  7. 0xc320...7637 Outcome 26429332, $400
  8. 0x34f4...16bd Outcome 26429332, $394
  9. 0x8c5d...2faf Outcome 26429332, $300
  10. 0x933c...a8c6 Outcome 26429332, $300 (77% win rate)

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Iran keeps airspace open

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US-Iran deal in late May

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Kovacevic beats Gea

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S&P opens lower May 19

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Mallorca will not win

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Como wins on May 10

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S&P rises on May 14

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Diane Parry beats Raducanu

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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

ResolvedS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?$7,249 tracked2 signalsSPXUp or DownDailyIndiciesFinanceHide From NewDaily-CloseRewards Automation 500, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 14, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, May 14, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

48d ago

$3,249 on Up at 90¢

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?

48d ago

$4,000 on Up at 90¢

Related Theses