Event

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

1 signal across 1 market · $1,325 tracked · resolves May 11, 2026

This event tracks the Polymarket prediction market on whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will close above $735 on May 11. PolySpotter is monitoring $1,325 in smart-money activity, including a signal from an 88% serial cross-market winner, to help contextualize how sharper traders are positioning.

Markets (1)

  1. S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?1 signal · $1,325 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. 88% serial cross-market winner

    Surfacing because a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with 88% wins and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes despite the market already pricing it near 90%.

    $1,325Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x40604c3ec3$1,325 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds SPY closes above $735 on May 11?

The live odds are set by Polymarket traders buying and selling the outcome for whether SPY closes above $735 on May 11. Check the event page for the current market price, which reflects the crowd-implied probability.

What is this SPY prediction market about?

This market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF, SPY, will close above $735 on May 11. It is a daily close market, so the key factor is SPY’s official closing level on the resolution date.

Is smart money betting on this SPY market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,325 in smart-money activity on this event, including a recent alert tied to an 88% serial cross-market winner. That does not guarantee the outcome, but it can help traders see where proven wallets are taking positions.

When does the SPY above $735 market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve after the May 11 close, with the listed resolution time of 2026-05-11 20:00 UTC. The final result depends on whether SPY closes above the stated $735 threshold.

How should I use smart-money signals for this market?

Smart-money signals can highlight notable wallet behavior, especially from traders with strong historical performance. They are best used alongside price action, market liquidity, macro news, and your own view of SPY’s likely closing level.