Part of: S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?

This Polymarket market asks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) will close above $735 on May 11, 2026. It resolves based on the official Pyth-published SPY closing price for the regular session, with “No” winning if the close is exactly $735 or lower. PolySpotter is tracking $1,325 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including an alert from an 88% serial cross-market winner.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,325.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

88% serial cross-market winner

Surfacing because a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with 88% wins and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes despite the market already pricing it near 90%.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 700 markets and is up $165.6K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 150 events and $4.8M total traded.
  • Entry at 88¢ is near the current market price, implying confidence even with limited upside.

$1,325 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $2,266 (48% win rate)
  2. 0x4060...3ec3 Yes, $1,503 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x131c...6816 Yes, $563 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xa540...0b43 No, $420 (40% win rate)
  5. 0xf5d9...9e0e Yes, $373 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x37dc...85cc Yes, $334
  7. 0x9d73...216b No, $200 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xfce1...98e3 Yes, $159 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x90c2...8c24 Yes, $135 (40% win rate)
  10. 0xbb0d...7a36 No, $131

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?

3hS&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?$1,325 tracked1 signalFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYRewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Yes
93¢
No
7¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 11, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

Price History — “Yes
95¢
70¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 11?

1h ago

$1,325 on Yes at 88¢

88¢93¢5¢

Related Theses