S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 4?
1 signal across 1 market · $2,338 tracked · resolves May 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4, with traders pricing the YES/NO outcome as the date approaches. PolySpotter has tracked $2,338 in smart money activity, including a recent signal that a 91% winner is buying NO.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x2f63db…f247$2,338 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for SPY closing above $720 on May 4?
The live Polymarket odds show how traders are pricing whether SPY will close above $720 on May 4. Check the market price for the latest implied probability on YES versus NO.
What is the smart money doing on this SPY market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,338 in smart money activity across this event. The latest alert showed a 91% winner buying NO, suggesting that trader is positioning against SPY closing above $720.
When does this SPY prediction market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve after the May 4 close, based on whether SPY closes above $720. The listed resolution time is 2026-05-04 20:00 UTC.
What does buying NO mean in this market?
Buying NO means a trader is betting that SPY will not close above $720 on May 4. If SPY closes at or below the threshold according to the market rules, NO shares would resolve as winners.