S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,338.

Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, SPY, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

91% winner buying NO

A profitable 91% win-rate wallet made a sizeable No bet in a thin SPY market, with the trade far larger than recent activity.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $18.2k lifetime.
  • They bought $2.3k of No at 39¢, a large position for a market with only about $6.3k total volume.
  • Entry at 39¢ implies they see No as a roughly 2.6x opportunity if SPY closes at or below $720.

$2,338 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2f63...f247 No, $5,995 (91% win rate)
  2. 0xb41c...5bd3 Yes, $5,397
  3. 0x41f3...844e Yes, $813
  4. 0xc8ab...6418 No, $570 (48% win rate)
  5. 0xf60e...936d Yes, $500
  6. 0x0c2e...708d Yes, $123
  7. 0x22a4...13e5 No, $110
  8. 0xa3e2...fdf8 No, $100
  9. 0x6f67...102c No, $65
  10. 0x9cb3...1367 No, $30

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?

14h$2,338 tracked1 signalFinanceEquitiesStocksDailyUp or DownDaily-CloseHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceEquity Daily PythSPYRewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Yes
63¢
No
38¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on May 4, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD.

Price History — “Yes
75¢
62¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 4?

3h ago

$2,338 on No at 39¢

39¢38¢1¢

Related Theses