Texas Governor Election Winner
20 signals across 2 markets · $214,510 tracked · resolves Nov 4, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Republicans will win the 2026 Texas governor race, with odds reflecting the market’s view of that outcome. PolySpotter has logged $6,735 in tracked smart money and one signal, including a new wallet scaling a large Yes position.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Three-wallet No cluster with proven whale
Three wallets placed $44.5K on No, including a profitable bettor with a strong record who is adding to a substantial existing No position.
$44,519Score: 10.8 - Profitable serial trader adding Yes
A proven profitable serial trader is adding to an existing Texas Democratic-win position at 36¢, with a linked-wallet signal adding support.
$1,209Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.7 - Four-wallet coordinated Yes buying
Four wallets bought nearly $70,000 of Yes amid a 238.9x volume spike, with one wallet adding to a substantial existing position.
$69,824Score: 7.6 - 7-wallet coordinated No buyers
Seven wallets placed synchronized $10.9k of No buys during a sharp volume spike, providing a coordinated directional signal despite no clear proven edge in their individual records.
$10,891Score: 5.7 - Proven bettor with $6.5M profit
A highly profitable bettor with 3,542 resolved positions bought No at 65¢, supported by a strong long-term record and extensive cross-market activity.
$3,010Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - Proven bettor with $6.5M profit
A highly profitable bettor with 3,542 resolved positions bought No at 65¢, supported by a strong long-term record and extensive cross-market activity.
$4,552Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - Profitable serial trader adding to NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to a substantial No position at 33¢ despite Republicans being favored.
$33,631Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.3 - Profitable bettor adding to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 74% win rate is adding substantially to an existing No position amid an unusual volume spike, though they also bought some Yes.
$11,163Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 5.1 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 365 resolved positions is buying No at 32¢, making this a notable contrarian position despite limited market-specific corroboration.
$2,212Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.9 - Proven bettor adding to Yes
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate across 2,377 resolved bets is adding to an existing Yes position at 66¢.
$1,786Wallet win rate: 77%Score: 4.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x657575…b198$59,997 · 1 market · 6 alerts · 75% wins
- 0xd1e6f5…0331$8,347 · 1 market · 2 alerts
- 0x27f738…44b0$7,562 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 88% wins
- 0x751776…0353$4,127 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 77% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$3,424 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x23d81b…0288$2,212 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x122cb9…fbed$1,280 · 1 market · 1 alert · 67% wins
- 0x4c8cdc…e36f$1,209 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x17b8dd…d5d1$1,120 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the odds in the 2026 Texas governor prediction market?
The market’s odds update as traders buy and sell positions. Check the live Polymarket market for the latest probability that Republicans will win the race.
What outcome does this event track?
The listed child market asks whether Republicans will win the 2026 Texas governor race. The event is scheduled to resolve based on the election winner.
What is smart money doing in the Texas governor market?
PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal, with a new wallet scaling a large Yes position on Republicans winning. Total smart money tracked across the event is $6,735.
When does the Texas governor election market resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve on November 3, 2026, according to the market listing, based on the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.