Event

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)

1 signal across 1 market · $1,128 tracked · resolves Apr 20, 2026

This event tracks Polymarket trading on whether The Super Mario Galaxy Movie will gross between $34 million and $37 million domestically in its third weekend. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s odds, volume, and smart-money activity, including a recent signal from a proven cross-market grinder.

Markets (1)

  1. Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?1 signal · $1,128 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Proven cross-market grinder

    A highly active cross-market trader with a solid long-term record bought No at 58¢ on a movie box-office bracket market that has already moved in their favor to 63¢.

    $1,128Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 2.5

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9aeb532729$1,128 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s 3rd weekend box office?

This event focuses on the lower-strike box office outcome, specifically whether the film’s third domestic weekend gross lands between $34 million and $37 million. The live Polymarket price reflects traders’ current implied probability for that range.

What is the smart money doing on this market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,128 in smart-money activity across this event, with one recent signal tied to a proven cross-market grinder. That kind of activity can help show whether experienced traders are taking a view on the box office range.

How will this box office prediction market resolve?

The market resolves based on the final 3-day domestic weekend box office gross for April 17–19, as reported on The Numbers once final values are available rather than studio estimates.

When does The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 3rd weekend market resolve?

The event is expected to resolve around April 20, 2026, after final domestic weekend box office figures are published.

What outcome is being traded in this event?

Traders are betting on whether The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s third weekend domestic box office will be between $34 million and $37 million, making it a targeted box office range market rather than a general opening-weekend forecast.