Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,128.

Categories: Movies, box office, Culture

Notable Trades

Proven cross-market grinder

A highly active cross-market trader with a solid long-term record bought No at 58¢ on a movie box-office bracket market that has already moved in their favor to 63¢.

  • This bettor has 1,144 resolved bets, wins 67% of the time, and is up $63k overall
  • They trade box-office events across many related markets: 263 events and 440 markets tracked
  • Bought No at 58¢ and the market has already moved to 63¢, showing early follow-through

$1,128 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $19,633
  2. 0x5095...93ee Yes, $10,000 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x2a01...6397 No, $6,894 (76% win rate)
  4. 0x9199...dd2d Yes, $2,500
  5. 0x8565...0c43 Yes, $2,426
  6. 0x29d3...b2ed Yes, $1,983 (59% win rate)
  7. 0xb028...8686 Yes, $1,558
  8. 0x83d7...317f Yes, $1,405
  9. 0xf434...c6aa No, $979
  10. 0x5a21...9318 Yes, $976

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Resolved$1,128 tracked1 signalMoviesbox officeCulture
Yes
32¢
No
68¢

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (April 17 - April 19) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “No
101¢
58¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

3h ago

$1,128 on No at 58¢

58¢68¢10¢

Related Theses