Event

"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

1 signal across 1 market · $1,616 tracked · resolves Apr 6, 2026

This event tracks Polymarket betting on how much The Super Mario Galaxy Movie will gross domestically over its 5-day opening weekend, from April 1–5, 2026. The active market focuses on whether the movie lands in the $190M–$200M range, with PolySpotter tracking smart-money activity around that outcome. Recent flow shows a serial event trader buying strength, suggesting notable interest in this box office bracket.

Markets (1)

  1. Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?1 signal · $1,616 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Serial event trader buying strength

    A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 1,050 resolved bets and a 65% win rate bought this movie bracket before another sharp move higher, making it a reasonable follow despite the modest size.

    $1,616Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 6.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0x9aeb532729$1,616 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Polymarket odds for The Super Mario Galaxy Movie opening weekend?

This event centers on the movie’s 5-day domestic opening weekend gross, with the listed market asking whether it will finish between $190M and $200M. PolySpotter tracks the live market odds and smart-money signals as traders position around that range.

What is smart money doing on this Super Mario Galaxy Movie box office market?

PolySpotter has tracked $1,616 in smart-money activity across this event, including a recent signal that a serial event trader was buying strength. That suggests at least one experienced trader is showing conviction in the market’s direction.

How will this box office prediction market resolve?

The market resolves using the final domestic daily figures from Box Office Mojo for the 5-day opening weekend, April 1 through April 5, 2026. Studio estimates are not enough; the final reported values are used.

When does The Super Mario Galaxy Movie box office market resolve?

The event is scheduled to resolve by April 6, 2026, after final 5-day domestic opening weekend figures are available.

What outcome is being traded for this event?

The child market currently listed asks whether The Super Mario Galaxy Movie will gross between $190 million and $200 million domestically during its 5-day opening weekend.