Part of: "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,616.

Categories: Culture, Movies, box office, Rewards 50, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Serial event trader buying strength

A high-volume serial cross-market trader with 1,050 resolved bets and a 65% win rate bought this movie bracket before another sharp move higher, making it a reasonable follow despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has 1,050 resolved trades with a 65% win rate and is up $53k overall.
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 426 markets in 252 events for nearly $937k total — which suggests event-specific skill.
  • They bought Yes at 43¢ and the market is already at 47¢ after a strong 1-day move, so their entry caught momentum early.

$1,616 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 36174804, $173,990
  2. 0x3329...43a6 Outcome 36174804, $500
  3. 0x3879...d8c3 Outcome 36174804, $369
  4. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 36174804, $322
  5. 0x0061...8fd6 Outcome 36174804, $200
  6. 0x8632...4696 Outcome 36174804, $178
  7. 0x3b1a...4221 Outcome 36174804, $150
  8. 0xab6a...735a Outcome 36174804, $132
  9. 0x7738...76a4 Outcome 36174804, $111
  10. 0xee21...3721 Outcome 36174804, $100

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

Resolved"The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office$1,616 tracked1 signalCultureMoviesbox officeRewards 50, 4.5, 100

This market will resolve according to how much "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 5-day opening weekend (April 1 - April 5) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 5-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by April 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Notable Trades

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?

45d ago

$1,616 on Yes at 43¢

Related Theses