UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
12 signals across 1 market · $128,233 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This event hub tracks the Polymarket prediction market for UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji, a flyweight main-card matchup scheduled for May 30, 2026. Traders are pricing which fighter will be officially declared the winner, with the market resolving 50-50 if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter has tracked $1,212 in smart money activity, including a signal from a serial sports trader showing 70% conviction.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp wallets backing Sumudaerji
Surface because two profitable sharp wallets are on the Sumudaerji side amid a major pre-fight volume spike, though the largest leg is a losing wallet closing Alex Perez exposure.
$66,815Score: 27.0 - Sharp bettors buying Perez
Three wallets bought Alex Perez together, led by two highly profitable sports bettors with 94% and 82% historical win rates, while the price jumped sharply in minutes.
$5,457Score: 16.2 - Elite bettor backs underdog
Strong UFC alert with a highly profitable 98% bettor, three-wallet one-sided flow, and a major pre-event volume spike all backing Sumudaerji at 43¢.
$33,497Score: 15.9 - Sharp bettor fading Perez
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet is fading Alex Perez after a fast price move, with supporting volume spike and price impact signals.
$1,834Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 12.8 - 78% winner backing underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate flipped into Alex Perez, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 12.0 - 96% win-rate fight sharp
Elite 96% win-rate bettor with large lifetime profit bought Sumudaerji before a major move from 57% to 77%.
$2,972Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 11.9 - 98% win-rate MMA sharp
Elite profitable MMA bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought Sumudaerji at 43¢ despite the market pricing Alex Perez as favorite.
$1,904Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 9.0 - New whale joins Perez flow
High-score UFC alert with a brand-new repeat whale, one-sided Alex Perez flow, and a major Sumudaerji price drop, though this specific wallet appears to be closing a prior Sumudaerji position.
$4,593Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 8.6 - 78% winner fading Perez
A proven profitable UFC bettor sold Alex Perez, equivalent to buying Sumudaerji at 50¢, after a sharp Perez price run-up.
$1,569Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 5.2 - New profitable UFC bettor
A 15-hour-old wallet with early profits is making another UFC bet, though the sample size is still small and the market is fairly liquid.
$1,027Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xf43842…9559$5,755 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins
- 0x1b4c64…ac04$5,620 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0xf38d09…eb9a$3,169 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0x05a7aa…42e6$2,972 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xc33a10…3da3$1,904 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x5c93cd…2079$1,834 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xd3316c…733c$1,212 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
FAQs
What are the Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji prediction market odds?
The live Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances of Alex Perez or Sumudaerji winning the fight. On PolySpotter, you can track how those odds move as traders react to news, weigh-ins, lineup updates, and smart money activity.
Who is the smart money betting on in Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,212 in smart money across this event, with one recent signal highlighting a serial sports trader at 70% conviction. That signal can help show where experienced prediction-market traders are leaning, though odds can change quickly before fight night.
How does this UFC Fight Night market resolve?
The market resolves to Alex Perez or Sumudaerji if that fighter is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw or technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 13, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji market close?
The event is scheduled for May 30, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2026, after the official fight result is available.
Why use PolySpotter for this UFC Polymarket event?
PolySpotter adds context beyond the raw odds by tracking smart money signals, notable trader positioning, and market movement across the full event hub.