Part of: UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)
This Polymarket prediction market covers who will officially win the flyweight bout between Alex Perez and Sumudaerji at UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, scheduled for May 30, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,402 in smart money activity across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp wallets on both Sumudaerji and Perez. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2026, unless the fight ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement, in which case it resolves 50-50.
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $128,233.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
78% winner fading Perez
A proven profitable UFC bettor sold Alex Perez, equivalent to buying Sumudaerji at 50¢, after a sharp Perez price run-up.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.7k lifetime.
- They sold Alex Perez after his price jumped 31.5 points in minutes, effectively backing Sumudaerji at even odds.
- Entry at 50¢ gives a clean 2x payout if Sumudaerji wins.
$1,569 on Sumudaerji | Wallet win rate: 78%
Sharp bettor fading Perez
Sharp 82% win-rate wallet is fading Alex Perez after a fast price move, with supporting volume spike and price impact signals.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $91.9K lifetime.
- They sold Alex Perez after a 31-point surge, effectively backing Sumudaerji at 50¢.
- This wallet has traded 64 events across markets with the same 82% win rate.
$1,834 on Sumudaerji | Wallet win rate: 82%
Sharp wallets backing Sumudaerji
Surface because two profitable sharp wallets are on the Sumudaerji side amid a major pre-fight volume spike, though the largest leg is a losing wallet closing Alex Perez exposure.
- A bettor who wins 96% of resolved positions and is up $386,896 bought Sumudaerji.
- Another profitable bettor with an 82% record also moved away from Alex Perez at 50¢.
- Four wallets put $66.8k on the Sumudaerji side during a 168x pre-fight volume spike.
$66,815 on Sumudaerji
New whale joins Perez flow
High-score UFC alert with a brand-new repeat whale, one-sided Alex Perez flow, and a major Sumudaerji price drop, though this specific wallet appears to be closing a prior Sumudaerji position.
- A 16-hour-old wallet has already placed $7.6K in flagged bets and is up about $4K on early resolved trades.
- Three wallets are all leaning the same way, totaling $7.2K toward Alex Perez.
- This trade closed a profitable Sumudaerji position, so the strongest signal is the broader one-sided move into Perez.
$4,593 on Alex Perez | Wallet win rate: 100%
78% winner backing underdog
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate flipped into Alex Perez, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.7K lifetime.
- They flipped from a closed Sumudaerji position into $1.6K on Alex Perez at 51¢.
- The market now prices Alex Perez near 23¢, so this is a sharp-wallet signal but with recent adverse movement.
$1,600 on Alex Perez | Wallet win rate: 78%
96% win-rate fight sharp
Elite 96% win-rate bettor with large lifetime profit bought Sumudaerji before a major move from 57% to 77%.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $386,896 lifetime.
- They bought Sumudaerji at 57¢ before the market moved to 77¢.
- This wallet has traded 59 related events with the same 96% win record.
$2,972 on Sumudaerji | Wallet win rate: 96%
Sharp bettors buying Perez
Three wallets bought Alex Perez together, led by two highly profitable sports bettors with 94% and 82% historical win rates, while the price jumped sharply in minutes.
- Two proven bettors are on the same side: one wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $223K, another wins 82% and is up $92K.
- Three wallets bought $5.5K of Alex Perez within minutes, pushing the price up from the mid-40s to about 57¢.
- Both sharp wallets are serial sports traders across dozens of events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable betting edge.
$5,457 on Alex Perez
Elite bettor backs underdog
Strong UFC alert with a highly profitable 98% bettor, three-wallet one-sided flow, and a major pre-event volume spike all backing Sumudaerji at 43¢.
- A bettor who wins 98% of resolved bets is backing Sumudaerji and is up $432K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $33.5K total, led by a $30.6K entry at 43¢.
- Volume is 205x above the historical average, suggesting fresh pre-fight conviction.
$33,497 on Sumudaerji
98% win-rate MMA sharp
Elite profitable MMA bettor with a 98% historical win rate bought Sumudaerji at 43¢ despite the market pricing Alex Perez as favorite.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved positions and is up $432K lifetime.
- They have traded across 145 events with a strong history of profitable cross-market bets.
- Buying Sumudaerji at 43¢ means they are backing the underdog against the current 57¢ favorite.
$1,904 on Sumudaerji | Wallet win rate: 98%
New profitable UFC bettor
A 15-hour-old wallet with early profits is making another UFC bet, though the sample size is still small and the market is fairly liquid.
- This brand-new bettor has won its first 2 resolved bets and is up $3.3k so far.
- The wallet is already repeating this pattern, with $3.0k total flagged across 3 positions in under a day.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Sumudaerji as underpriced versus the current market.
$1,027 on Sumudaerji | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 84086034, $38,445 (62% win rate)
- 0xf438...9559 — Outcome 84086034, $25,700 (78% win rate)
- 0xa676...a4c5 — Outcome 26706337, $5,281 (94% win rate)
- 0x05a7...42e6 — Outcome 84086034, $5,261 (96% win rate)
- 0xa710...23c4 — Outcome 84086034, $3,067 (55% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 26706337, $2,572 (51% win rate)
- 0x7a5d...54db — Outcome 26706337, $2,297 (51% win rate)
- 0xedea...8b39 — Outcome 26706337, $2,253 (69% win rate)
- 0x1f64...3633 — Outcome 84086034, $2,170
- 0xed10...d2e5 — Outcome 26706337, $2,012 (89% win rate)
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