UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
10 signals across 2 markets · $208,849 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
This UFC Fight Night event hub tracks prediction-market odds for Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana in the women's strawweight prelims. Bettors are trading the fight winner outcome, with a 50-50 resolution possible if the bout ends in a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement. PolySpotter has tracked $2,736 in smart money, including a signal that 94% of winner backing is on the favorite.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- UFC one-sided whale surge
A large one-sided UFC cluster bought $173k of Alice Ardelean into thin liquidity, triggering a major pre-fight volume spike and rapid price move.
$173,420Score: 10.3 - Elite UFC sharp
Elite profitable sports bettor bought Alice Ardelean at 86¢ ahead of a major volume spike and a move to near-certain pricing.
$2,214Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.9 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor bought Alice Ardelean before a sharp move to 100%, alongside a major volume spike and price impact.
$1,754Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 9.9 - 94% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate bought Polyana Viana at 37¢ amid a sharp pre-fight volume spike.
$3,893Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 9.9 - Elite bettor backing underdog
Elite profitable sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and $2.4M lifetime profit bought Polyana Viana at 35¢ amid a sharp pre-fight volume spike.
$1,643Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 9.9 - 93% win-rate UFC bettor
Sharp UFC bettor with a 93% historical win rate bought Alice Ardelean at 88¢ amid a huge pre-event volume spike and a 25-point price move to 100%.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 7.9 - UFC line-steam buyer
A major pre-fight volume surge and rapid price move pushed Alice Ardelean from a 65¢ entry to 92¢, suggesting strong market-wide conviction despite the wallet’s modest track record.
$1,411Wallet win rate: 53%Score: 5.7 - Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with over $3M lifetime profit bought nearly $10k of Under at 39¢ despite only a modest alert score.
$9,947Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 4.8 - Profitable serial fight bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $3.0M lifetime profit placed a sizable $9.8k bet on Under in a relatively small UFC rounds market.
$9,832Wallet win rate: 59%Score: 2.0 - 94% winner backs favorite
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the buyer has an exceptional 94% resolved win rate and $209k lifetime profit.
$2,736Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x777d9f…5143$19,779 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 59% wins
- 0xd81e5b…e3d0$3,893 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xdd9d90…b730$2,736 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$2,214 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xeb6922…cfd1$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x6dd631…f5f4$1,754 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$1,643 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x375191…7dfd$1,411 · 1 market · 1 alert · 53% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Ardelean vs. Viana?
This event page tracks the live prediction-market pricing for Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana, showing how traders value each fighter's chance to win as UFC Fight Night approaches.
Who is smart money backing in Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,736 in smart money across this event, with a recent signal showing 94% of winner backing on the favorite.
What outcomes are traded for this UFC fight?
The market centers on whether Alice Ardelean or Polyana Viana is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 30, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When does the Ardelean vs. Viana market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official result of the UFC Fight Night bout, with the listed resolution time around May 17, 2026 UTC.