Event

UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

5 signals across 1 market · $65,609 tracked · resolves Aug 9, 2026

Follow the Polymarket prediction market for Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara in the UFC Fight Night women’s strawweight prelims. The market trades both fighter-win outcomes, with a sharp bettor recently adding to Lemos and $3,636 in tracked smart-money activity.

Markets (1)

  1. UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)5 signals · $65,609 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Cluster scaling into Alexia Thainara

    Four wallets added nearly $20,000 to Alexia Thainara during a 221x volume spike, including a profitable 85% winner, making this a notable though imperfect coordinated signal.

    $19,995Score: 6.5
  2. Sharp bettor adds to Lemos

    A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and $527,606 lifetime profit is adding $3,636 to an existing Amanda Lemos position at 30%.

    $3,636Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.6
  3. Whale buying Alexia on volume surge

    A highly active trader placed a fresh $35.7K bet on Alexia Thainara amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, making this a notable UFC signal despite only a modest historical win-rate edge.

    $35,748Wallet win rate: 63%Score: 4.2
  4. Sharp bettor scaling into Alexia

    A proven sharp bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Alexia Thainara position during an extreme volume spike.

    $1,260Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 3.9
  5. Sharp bettor scaling into Alexia

    A proven 86% winner with substantial edge is adding to an Alexia Thainara position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.

    $4,970Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 3.1

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfe787d0319$35,748 · 1 market · 1 alert · 63% wins
  2. 0x88535ac058$4,970 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
  3. 0x65c18d2988$3,636 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
  4. 0xef4f4b4598$1,260 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara odds?

Polymarket odds reflect the market’s estimated probability of Amanda Lemos or Alexia Thainara winning. Check the live event page for the latest prices and implied probabilities.

What is the Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara prediction market?

This UFC prediction market covers the official winner of the women’s strawweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld. It resolves to Lemos or Thainara based on the official result.

What is smart money betting on in this UFC market?

PolySpotter tracks $3,636 in smart-money activity across the event and one signal. The latest alert reports that a sharp bettor added to Amanda Lemos.

When does the Lemos vs. Thainara market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the fight’s official result, with the event scheduled for August 8, 2026. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, unscored bout, cancellation, or postponement beyond August 22, 2026 resolves the market 50-50.