Part of: UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Amanda Lemos vs. Alexia Thainara (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
This UFC prediction market tracks whether Amanda Lemos or Alexia Thainara wins their women’s strawweight preliminary bout at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. The market has $40,718 in tracked smart money and resolves after the official result; a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or late postponement settles at 50-50.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,609.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Whale buying Alexia on volume surge
A highly active trader placed a fresh $35.7K bet on Alexia Thainara amid an extreme pre-event volume surge, making this a notable UFC signal despite only a modest historical win-rate edge.
- A $35,748 bet backs Alexia Thainara at 71¢, with the position already moving to 74¢.
- The trade represented 52.6% of 24-hour market volume in a market with a 2260x historical volume spike.
- This bettor has made over $35 million in lifetime profit across 36,205 resolved bets, though the 63% win rate is not exceptionally sharp for the average prices paid.
$35,748 on Alexia Thainara | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp bettor scaling into Alexia
A proven 86% winner with substantial edge is adding to an Alexia Thainara position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 86% of 22 resolved trades and is up $25,887.
- They added $4,970 to an existing Alexia Thainara position, bringing total investment to $11,970.
- Market activity is running at 2,260x its historical average, reinforcing the directional move toward Alexia.
$4,970 on Alexia Thainara | Wallet win rate: 86%
Sharp bettor scaling into Alexia
A proven sharp bettor with an 85% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an Alexia Thainara position during an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 85% of 230 resolved positions, with a $33,587 profit and entries averaging 54%.
- They are adding to an existing Alexia Thainara position at 71%, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- The market saw a 246.5x historical volume spike, adding support to the directional trade.
$1,260 on Alexia Thainara | Wallet win rate: 85%
Cluster scaling into Alexia Thainara
Four wallets added nearly $20,000 to Alexia Thainara during a 221x volume spike, including a profitable 85% winner, making this a notable though imperfect coordinated signal.
- Four wallets added nearly $20,000 to Alexia Thainara during a 221x historical volume spike.
- One bettor wins 85% of 230 resolved positions and is up $33,587 overall.
- All four wallets were adding to existing Alexia positions at 71¢, signaling increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
$19,995 on Alexia Thainara
Sharp bettor adds to Lemos
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate and $527,606 lifetime profit is adding $3,636 to an existing Amanda Lemos position at 30%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 154 resolved positions and is up $527,606 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,636 to an existing Amanda Lemos position at 30%, signaling continued conviction.
- The 30¢ entry implies roughly a 3.3-to-1 payout if Lemos wins, while this wallet has traded across 69 events.
$3,636 on Amanda Lemos | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x4bff...fc26 — Outcome 51869689, $200,455 (47% win rate)
- 0x65c1...2988 — Outcome 51869689, $22,397 (84% win rate)
- 0xd218...b5c9 — Outcome 51869689, $7,975 (50% win rate)
- 0x4488...e319 — Outcome 51869689, $7,500 (53% win rate)
- 0x7e18...f52a — Outcome 10044775, $5,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x9fad...5a9f — Outcome 51869689, $5,000 (42% win rate)
- 0x733d...1ae7 — Outcome 51869689, $5,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xa676...a4c5 — Outcome 51869689, $4,761 (94% win rate)
- 0xe2ba...1883 — Outcome 51869689, $4,617
- 0x746e...68ca — Outcome 51869689, $4,000 (93% win rate)
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