UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
10 signals across 3 markets · $184,481 tracked · resolves Aug 23, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the UFC Fight Night middleweight bout between Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues. The event market tracks either fighter winning, with a 50-50 outcome if the fight is a draw, technical draw, No Contest, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026.

Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- 10-wallet Rodrigues cluster
A 10-wallet, $31,000 Rodrigues cluster and extreme volume spike make this a notable directional trade, though the position has moved sharply against the buyers and faces much larger opposing Hernandez flow.
$31,041Score: 9.1 - Sharp bettor joins five-wallet Hernandez surge
A proven high-edge bettor added to Anthony Hernandez alongside four other wallets during a major one-sided volume surge.
$1,230Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 8.7 - Sharp bettors back collapsing underdog
Four wallets deployed $122,557 on Anthony Hernandez, including two highly profitable bettors, but the position is deeply underwater after falling from 67¢ to 28¢ and should be treated as a high-risk contrarian signal.
$122,557Score: 8.5 - Sharp serial trader buys Under
A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate made a fresh, outsized Under bet in a thin market.
$1,239Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.7 - 97% win-rate bettor adds to Hernandez
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 97% win rate is adding $10,000 to Anthony Hernandez at 67%, reinforcing an existing position.
$10,000Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - Proven sharp bettor backs Hernandez
A highly experienced bettor with an extraordinary 89% win rate and 33-point edge placed a concentrated $5,757 bet on Anthony Hernandez.
$5,757Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 5.6 - 96% winner adds to No
A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate added to a large No position during an unusually sharp volume spike, though the trade is currently underwater.
$2,178Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.3 - Serial winner scaling into Hernandez
A highly experienced bettor with 830 resolved wins is adding $7,444 to an existing Hernandez position amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
$7,444Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 5.0 - Proven sharp buys No
A highly experienced bettor with 886 resolved positions, an 83% win rate, and substantial edge made a concentrated No bet that represents nearly all recent market volume.
$1,536Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 4.9 - 38-0 bettor adds to underdog
A highly successful bettor with a 38-0 record is adding to an existing Gregory Rodrigues underdog position at 36 cents.
$1,500Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x823988…d9a3$10,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0xd27cc7…c081$7,444 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0xd6966e…8a49$5,757 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x8bfee7…2d74$2,178 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x8565b2…0c43$1,536 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0xfed20f…4671$1,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x12afdd…ff78$1,239 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x9698ea…2504$1,230 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues prediction-market odds?
Polymarket tracks the market-implied chances of Anthony Hernandez or Gregory Rodrigues winning the UFC Fight Night bout. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money betting on in this UFC fight?
PolySpotter has tracked $5,757 in smart money across the event and one smart money signal. The latest alert headline reports that a proven sharp bettor backed Hernandez.
Who is favored in the Hernandez vs Rodrigues market?
The favored fighter is the one with the higher live Polymarket price. Prices may move before the fight as new information and trading activity enter the market.
When does the Hernandez vs Rodrigues prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by August 23, 2026, after the official fight result. If the bout is canceled or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, or ends in a draw, technical draw, or No Contest, it resolves 50-50.