This bettor wins 83% of 886 resolved trades and is up $212,004 lifetime. The $1,536 No bet accounts for 113% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market. The trade is part of a 46-event, 54-market track record rather than an isolated wager.

Part of: UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,714.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner adds to No

A highly profitable serial trader with a 96% win rate added to a large No position during an unusually sharp volume spike, though the trade is currently underwater.

This bettor has won 96% of 341 resolved trades and earned about $1.14 million.
The $2,178 purchase adds to an existing $19,732 No position, showing substantial conviction in the fight ending before the judges’ scorecards.
Trading activity spiked dramatically around the market, while the Yes price has risen 9% in the past day against this bettor’s No thesis.

$2,178 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven sharp buys No

A highly experienced bettor with 886 resolved positions, an 83% win rate, and substantial edge made a concentrated No bet that represents nearly all recent market volume.

This bettor wins 83% of 886 resolved trades and is up $212,004 lifetime.
The $1,536 No bet accounts for 113% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
The trade is part of a 46-event, 54-market track record rather than an isolated wager.

$1,536 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 79815102, $19,732 (96% win rate)
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 79815102, $1,975 (83% win rate)
0xbe9f...014a — Outcome 79815102, $888
0xb1f5...e4c2 — Outcome 79815102, $722 (92% win rate)
0xf998...13f5 — Outcome 79815102, $453 (100% win rate)
0xd161...4cc1 — Outcome 79815102, $433 (71% win rate)
0xc34b...9296 — Outcome 79815102, $253 (96% win rate)
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 79815102, $248 (70% win rate)
0xd170...a9d9 — Outcome 79815102, $150
0x1bec...8d52 — Outcome 79815102, $104 (93% win rate)

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Fight to Go the Distance?

ResolvedUFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)$3,714 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Anthony Hernandez and Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “No”

78¢

72¢

66¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction