UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)
5 signals across 1 market · $15,666 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026
This UFC Fight Night prediction market tracks whether Dakota Hope or Francis Marshall wins their featherweight main-card bout. PolySpotter reports $2,000 in tracked smart money across the event and one alert from a profitable serial UFC bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 96% winner, but position under pressure
An exceptionally profitable, serial cross-market bettor bought Francis Marshall at 74¢, though the market has since moved sharply against that position and now prices him at 20¢.
$1,777Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.8 - 92% winner backing the underdog
A highly profitable bettor with 731 resolved positions and a 92% win rate has placed $5,250 on Dakota Hope at 35¢.
$5,250Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 5.4 - Proven sharp doubling down on Francis
A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate added $4,685 to Francis Marshall during a major volume spike, though the position is now sharply underwater.
$4,685Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.1 - Profitable serial UFC bettor
A highly active, profitable trader with 471 resolved bets is backing Dakota Hope at 34%, though the overall win rate is only modestly above the wallet's average winning price.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial UFC bettor
A highly active, profitable trader with 471 resolved bets is backing Dakota Hope at 34%, though the overall win rate is only modestly above the wallet's average winning price.
$1,954Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x684baa…8409$5,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x6b123a…d642$4,685 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x5a56fe…10f5$3,954 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 73% wins
- 0x05a7aa…42e6$1,777 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall?
The market lists outcomes for a Dakota Hope win or a Francis Marshall win. Check the live market for the latest odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in this fight market?
PolySpotter has tracked one signal from a profitable serial UFC bettor, with $2,000 in smart money tracked across the event. The alert headline does not specify which fighter the signal favors.
When does the Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall market resolve?
The fight is scheduled for UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan on October 31, 2026, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. A draw, No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond November 14 is handled under the market's 50-50 resolution terms.
What outcomes are covered by this prediction market?
The market covers the bout's winner: Dakota Hope or Francis Marshall. A draw or technical draw, No Contest, unscored fight, cancellation, or qualifying postponement resolves to 50-50 under the listed rules.