Part of: UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Dakota Hope" if Dakota Hope is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francis Marshall at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Francis Marshall" if Francis Marshall is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,666.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

96% winner, but position under pressure

An exceptionally profitable, serial cross-market bettor bought Francis Marshall at 74¢, though the market has since moved sharply against that position and now prices him at 20¢.

This bettor has won 298 of 310 resolved positions and earned $611,728 on $2.48M invested.
They bought Francis Marshall at 74¢, but he is now priced at 20¢ after a sharp move against him—an important warning that this trade may be stale or wrong.
The 30× volume spike and the wallet’s activity across 111 events make the position worth watching, despite the adverse price move.

$1,777 on Francis Marshall | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven sharp doubling down on Francis

A highly profitable bettor with an 87% win rate added $4,685 to Francis Marshall during a major volume spike, though the position is now sharply underwater.

This bettor has won 110 of 126 resolved bets and earned $173K in profit.
They added $4,685 to Francis Marshall, on top of an existing $10,207 position, during a 30× volume spike.
The entry was about 81¢, but Francis now trades near 20¢—a major move against the bet.

$4,685 on Francis Marshall | Wallet win rate: 87%

92% winner backing the underdog

A highly profitable bettor with 731 resolved positions and a 92% win rate has placed $5,250 on Dakota Hope at 35¢.

This bettor has won 92% of 731 resolved positions and is up nearly $8.0M.
They placed $5,250 on Dakota Hope at 35¢, despite the market currently favoring Francis Marshall at 66%.
The wallet has traded across 226 events, showing an extensive track record beyond this single bet.

$5,250 on Dakota Hope | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial UFC bettor

A highly active, profitable trader with 471 resolved bets is backing Dakota Hope at 34%, though the overall win rate is only modestly above the wallet's average winning price.

This bettor has won 74% of 471 resolved bets and is up about $551K.
They have traded across 165 events and are backing Dakota Hope at 34¢ despite the market favoring Marshall.

$1,954 on Dakota Hope | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial UFC bettor

A highly active, profitable trader with 471 resolved bets is backing Dakota Hope at 34%, though the overall win rate is only modestly above the wallet's average winning price.

This bettor has won 74% of 471 resolved bets and is up about $551K.
They have traded across 165 events and are backing Dakota Hope at 34¢ despite the market favoring Marshall.

$2,000 on Dakota Hope | Wallet win rate: 73%