UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)
9 signals across 1 market · $74,025 tracked · resolves Jun 7, 2026
Follow the prediction market for Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan, a lightweight prelim at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim. This event hub tracks the traded outcome for the fight, including Polymarket odds movement and smart money activity, with $1,742 in tracked smart money and a recent new-wallet UFC conviction signal.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Elite sharps piling in
Two highly profitable sports bettors with 97–98% historical win rates joined a 3-wallet, $34.8k one-sided buy cluster on Farés Ziam ahead of the fight.
$34,815Score: 16.8 - 98% win-rate UFC sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $661k lifetime profit bought $11.25k of Farés Ziam despite recent downward price movement.
$11,250Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 12.4 - Elite sharp took Nolan
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought Tom Nolan despite the market later moving sharply against the position.
$2,443Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 9.4 - Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and nearly $98k profit bought Tom Nolan amid a major volume spike and strong price move.
$3,560Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 8.9 - 90% sharp buying underdog
Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L bought Tom Nolan, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.
$1,950Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 7.4 - Profitable sports sharp
Profitable high-volume sports trader effectively backed Farés Ziam at 14¢ amid a major pre-fight volume spike and sharp price movement.
$1,775Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 6.9 - New repeat UFC bettor
A 2-day-old repeat large bettor is reopening a sizable Farés Ziam position, though the wallet has only a tiny resolved sample and negative P&L so the edge is unproven.
$1,690Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.5 - New wallet UFC conviction
Very new wallet is making repeat sizable bets into a thin UFC prelim market, with this buy representing a large share of recent volume.
$1,742Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.0 - 97% winner backing favorite
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 97% record bought $14.8k of Farés Ziam at 74¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.
$14,800Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.6
Top wallets in this event
- 0x9e5e87…fd91$14,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0x8b887c…8f33$11,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xa9a6bc…0009$3,560 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xeb4d46…4db8$3,432 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 100% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$2,443 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x6b123a…d642$1,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins
- 0x6dd631…f5f4$1,775 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
FAQs
What are the Ziam vs. Nolan odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect traders' current implied probabilities for whether Farés Ziam or Tom Nolan will be officially declared the winner. PolySpotter tracks those market moves alongside smart money activity so you can see how sentiment is shifting before the fight.
What is the smart money doing on Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,742 in smart money across this event, including a recent alert labeled “New wallet UFC conviction.” That suggests a notable wallet has taken a meaningful position in the fight market.
How does the Ziam vs. Nolan prediction market resolve?
The market resolves to Farés Ziam or Tom Nolan if that fighter is officially declared the winner. If the fight is a draw, technical draw, no contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
When is Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan scheduled to resolve?
The event is scheduled to resolve by June 7, 2026, after the official result is available for the UFC Fight Night prelim bout.
Where can I track Ziam vs. Nolan Polymarket activity?
You can track the Ziam vs. Nolan prediction market on PolySpotter, including live odds, market movement, and smart money alerts tied to notable wallet activity.