Part of: UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)
This market will resolve to "Farés Ziam" if Farés Ziam is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026. It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond June 20, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,025.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and nearly $98k profit bought Tom Nolan amid a major volume spike and strong price move.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 26 events with the same 83% win rate.
- Tom Nolan saw a 334x volume spike and a 23.5-point price jump as this bet came in.
$3,560 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable sports sharp
Profitable high-volume sports trader effectively backed Farés Ziam at 14¢ amid a major pre-fight volume spike and sharp price movement.
- This bettor is up $115k across 1,237 resolved trades, with a 71% win rate.
- They effectively backed Farés Ziam at 14¢ by selling Tom Nolan at 86¢.
- Market activity spiked 181x before the fight, but the current price has moved far beyond this entry.
$1,775 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 72%
Elite sharp took Nolan
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought Tom Nolan despite the market later moving sharply against the position.
- This bettor has won 80% of 492 resolved bets and is up about $890K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 95 events with over $1.2M tracked in similar activity.
- The market has moved against their 66¢ entry, so Nolan is now available much cheaper than this sharp paid.
$2,443 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 78%
90% sharp buying underdog
Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L bought Tom Nolan, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $25k lifetime.
- They put $1,950 on Tom Nolan at 78¢, a strong conviction bet from a proven wallet.
- The market has since moved to 40¢, so this is a sharp-wallet signal rather than price momentum.
$1,950 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 87%
98% win-rate UFC sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $661k lifetime profit bought $11.25k of Farés Ziam despite recent downward price movement.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $661k lifetime.
- They have bet across 85 events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.
- The $11.25k buy at 75¢ backs Farés Ziam even after a sharp short-term price drop.
$11,250 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite sharps piling in
Two highly profitable sports bettors with 97–98% historical win rates joined a 3-wallet, $34.8k one-sided buy cluster on Farés Ziam ahead of the fight.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 97–98% of their resolved bets and are up over $1M combined.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $34.8k, a strong one-way move before the fight.
- Volume spiked 516x above normal, suggesting unusual pre-event conviction on Ziam.
$34,815 on Farés Ziam
97% winner backing favorite
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 97% record bought $14.8k of Farés Ziam at 74¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $404k lifetime.
- They put $14.8k on Farés Ziam at 74¢, adding meaningful conviction to the favorite.
- Their historical average entry is 59¢, so buying a 74¢ favorite still fits a proven profitable pattern.
$14,800 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 96%
New repeat UFC bettor
A 2-day-old repeat large bettor is reopening a sizable Farés Ziam position, though the wallet has only a tiny resolved sample and negative P&L so the edge is unproven.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already placed 5 flagged positions totaling $9.3K.
- They are buying Farés Ziam again at 74¢ after previously closing a similar position.
- The market is moderately thin, so a $1.7K buy is a meaningful show of conviction.
$1,690 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet UFC conviction
Very new wallet is making repeat sizable bets into a thin UFC prelim market, with this buy representing a large share of recent volume.
- A wallet less than 3 hours old has already placed about $4.2K in flagged bets.
- This $1.7K buy was roughly 9x the market’s recent 24h volume at detection.
- Entry at 74¢ suggests a confident favorite bet on a relatively quiet UFC prelim market.
$1,742 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 100%
