Part of: UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $74,025.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp UFC bettor backing favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 83% resolved win rate and nearly $98k profit bought Tom Nolan amid a major volume spike and strong price move.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up about $98k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 26 events with the same 83% win rate.
- Tom Nolan saw a 334x volume spike and a 23.5-point price jump as this bet came in.
$3,560 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable sports sharp
Profitable high-volume sports trader effectively backed Farés Ziam at 14¢ amid a major pre-fight volume spike and sharp price movement.
- This bettor is up $115k across 1,237 resolved trades, with a 71% win rate.
- They effectively backed Farés Ziam at 14¢ by selling Tom Nolan at 86¢.
- Market activity spiked 181x before the fight, but the current price has moved far beyond this entry.
$1,775 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 72%
Elite sharp took Nolan
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought Tom Nolan despite the market later moving sharply against the position.
- This bettor has won 80% of 492 resolved bets and is up about $890K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 95 events with over $1.2M tracked in similar activity.
- The market has moved against their 66¢ entry, so Nolan is now available much cheaper than this sharp paid.
$2,443 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 79%
90% sharp buying underdog
Sharp wallet with a 90% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L bought Tom Nolan, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up about $25k lifetime.
- They put $1,950 on Tom Nolan at 78¢, a strong conviction bet from a proven wallet.
- The market has since moved to 40¢, so this is a sharp-wallet signal rather than price momentum.
$1,950 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 85%
98% win-rate UFC sharp
Elite sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and $661k lifetime profit bought $11.25k of Farés Ziam despite recent downward price movement.
- This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $661k lifetime.
- They have bet across 85 events with a 98% hit rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.
- The $11.25k buy at 75¢ backs Farés Ziam even after a sharp short-term price drop.
$11,250 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 99%
Elite sharps piling in
Two highly profitable sports bettors with 97–98% historical win rates joined a 3-wallet, $34.8k one-sided buy cluster on Farés Ziam ahead of the fight.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 97–98% of their resolved bets and are up over $1M combined.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $34.8k, a strong one-way move before the fight.
- Volume spiked 516x above normal, suggesting unusual pre-event conviction on Ziam.
$34,815 on Farés Ziam
97% winner backing favorite
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 97% record bought $14.8k of Farés Ziam at 74¢, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $404k lifetime.
- They put $14.8k on Farés Ziam at 74¢, adding meaningful conviction to the favorite.
- Their historical average entry is 59¢, so buying a 74¢ favorite still fits a proven profitable pattern.
$14,800 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 95%
New repeat UFC bettor
A 2-day-old repeat large bettor is reopening a sizable Farés Ziam position, though the wallet has only a tiny resolved sample and negative P&L so the edge is unproven.
- This 2-day-old wallet has already placed 5 flagged positions totaling $9.3K.
- They are buying Farés Ziam again at 74¢ after previously closing a similar position.
- The market is moderately thin, so a $1.7K buy is a meaningful show of conviction.
$1,690 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 100%
New wallet UFC conviction
Very new wallet is making repeat sizable bets into a thin UFC prelim market, with this buy representing a large share of recent volume.
- A wallet less than 3 hours old has already placed about $4.2K in flagged bets.
- This $1.7K buy was roughly 9x the market’s recent 24h volume at detection.
- Entry at 74¢ suggests a confident favorite bet on a relatively quiet UFC prelim market.
$1,742 on Farés Ziam | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 86490655, $22,543 (95% win rate)
- 0x9e5e...fd91 — Outcome 86490655, $20,000 (95% win rate)
- 0x8b88...8f33 — Outcome 86490655, $18,845 (99% win rate)
- 0x6a32...0086 — Outcome 86490655, $4,390 (83% win rate)
- 0x4a1c...9867 — Outcome 86490655, $3,516 (81% win rate)
- 0x9b12...5ee4 — Outcome 86490655, $3,488
- 0xeb4d...4db8 — Outcome 86490655, $2,108 (100% win rate)
- 0x441d...544d — Outcome 86490655, $2,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x4f22...6482 — Outcome 86490655, $1,897 (97% win rate)
- 0x43e0...8618 — Outcome 86490655, $1,669
