UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)
7 signals across 2 markets · $107,463 tracked · resolves Apr 19, 2026
This UFC Fight Night hub tracks prediction-market odds for Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott, including both the fight winner and over/under 2.5 rounds markets. PolySpotter is monitoring $107K+ in smart money across the event, with recent alerts showing Burns clusters, Malott-linked buying, and activity from new UFC whale wallets.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- 6-wallet Burns cluster
A 6-wallet coordinated cluster, including linked funding and several brand-new wallets, bought nearly $38k of Gilbert Burns around 30¢ amid a massive pre-fight volume spike.
$38,081Score: 14.9 - New wallet contrarian cluster
Four wallets piled $21k into Gilbert Burns at 30¢ during a huge pre-fight volume spike, led by a brand-new wallet making repeated large bets, making this a notable contrarian cluster despite weak historical records on the known wallets.
$21,003Score: 12.6 - Linked trio piles into Malott
Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $36.7k into Mike Malott on a sports market with only $9.3k of 24h volume, creating a strong one-sided conviction signal worth surfacing.
$36,665Score: 10.6 - New wallet UFC whale
A 3-hour-old wallet has repeatedly placed outsized bets into thin UFC totals markets, and this latest $1.97k buy accounted for 87% of the market’s 24h volume.
$1,968Wallet win rate: 44%Score: 7.5 - 79% sports grinder buys favorite
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% hit rate bought Mike Malott into a massive pre-fight volume spike, making this a worthwhile momentum-style trade to watch despite a modestly negative lifetime P&L.
$7,038Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 6.8 - Proven sports grinder buys favorite
A high-volume, experienced sports trader with a strong 69% hit rate bought Mike Malott during a sharp pre-fight volume spike, making this a modest but credible follow signal.
$1,190Wallet win rate: 68%Score: 5.8 - 92% win-rate bettor
A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and strong long-run edge is backing Mike Malott at 78¢, which is notable even though the market itself is fairly liquid.
$1,518Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 5.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x769056…74e1$7,038 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xc14922…dc81$1,968 · 1 market · 1 alert · 44% wins
- 0x17338d…1e15$1,518 · 1 market · 1 alert · 93% wins
- 0x58aa47…a481$1,190 · 1 market · 1 alert · 68% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott?
The event market tracks the implied odds for Burns to win, Malott to win, and related outcomes like over/under 2.5 rounds. PolySpotter updates the hub as traders move prices across the fight-winner and round-total markets.
What is the smart money doing on Burns vs. Malott?
Recent PolySpotter alerts show mixed sharp activity: a 6-wallet Burns cluster, a linked trio piling into Malott, a new wallet contrarian cluster, and a new UFC whale entering the market. That suggests active disagreement among larger or historically notable traders.
Is this page only for the fight winner market?
No. This is the event hub for Burns vs. Malott, so it covers multiple child markets tied to the fight, including the main winner market and the over/under 2.5 rounds market.
When does the Burns vs. Malott prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official result of the UFC Fight Night bout, with the event resolving by April 19, 2026 UTC. If the fight is canceled, ruled a no contest, drawn, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, the winner market resolves 50-50 under the listed rules.
Who is betting on Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott?
PolySpotter tracks notable wallet behavior rather than personal identities. For this event, alerts have flagged sports grinders, clustered wallets, linked Malott buyers, Burns buyers, and new whale activity across the related markets.