Part of: UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $105,495.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

6-wallet Burns cluster

A 6-wallet coordinated cluster, including linked funding and several brand-new wallets, bought nearly $38k of Gilbert Burns around 30¢ amid a massive pre-fight volume spike.

  • Six wallets piled into Gilbert Burns with $38k in about 8 minutes, and 2 of them share a funder
  • Several buys came from a wallet just 15 hours old, a pattern that often signals fresh conviction
  • They bought around 30¢, so the thesis is Burns is meaningfully undervalued versus the market's 70% price on Malott

$38,081 on Gilbert Burns

79% sports grinder buys favorite

A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a 79% hit rate bought Mike Malott into a massive pre-fight volume spike, making this a worthwhile momentum-style trade to watch despite a modestly negative lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 355 resolved trades and has bet across 151 events
  • The market saw a 125x volume spike, suggesting sharp money rushed in before the fight
  • They bought Mike Malott at 71¢, backing the current favorite with a $7k position

$7,038 on Mike Malott | Wallet win rate: 80%

New wallet contrarian cluster

Four wallets piled $21k into Gilbert Burns at 30¢ during a huge pre-fight volume spike, led by a brand-new wallet making repeated large bets, making this a notable contrarian cluster despite weak historical records on the known wallets.

  • Four wallets bought Gilbert Burns together for $21k at 30¢, a strong one-sided bet against the 70¢ favorite
  • One wallet is only 15 hours old and has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts, including a $13.4k buy here
  • Market activity is running 125x above normal, suggesting real money is rushing in before the fight

$21,003 on Gilbert Burns

Proven sports grinder buys favorite

A high-volume, experienced sports trader with a strong 69% hit rate bought Mike Malott during a sharp pre-fight volume spike, making this a modest but credible follow signal.

  • This bettor has won 69% of 557 resolved markets and is up about $18k overall
  • The buy came during a 27x surge in market activity before the fight, suggesting informed positioning
  • They paid 71¢ for Mike Malott, close to the current 70¢ market price, so the edge looks real but not extreme

$1,190 on Mike Malott | Wallet win rate: 68%

Linked trio piles into Malott

Three wallets, including two linked by funding, piled $36.7k into Mike Malott on a sports market with only $9.3k of 24h volume, creating a strong one-sided conviction signal worth surfacing.

  • Three wallets all bought Mike Malott at the same time for $36.7k, and two of them share a funder
  • This burst was about 4x the market's 24-hour volume, a strong sign of concentrated conviction in a relatively thin market
  • Two of the wallets are profitable across thousands of resolved bets, including one up nearly $700k lifetime

$36,665 on Mike Malott

92% win-rate bettor

A proven sharp bettor with a 92% win rate and strong long-run edge is backing Mike Malott at 78¢, which is notable even though the market itself is fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 92% of their trades across 1,122 resolved positions and is up about $230k.
  • They bought Mike Malott at 78¢, a clear fresh position from a wallet with a long proven edge.
  • The market is active enough that this looks more like informed conviction than a random punt.

$1,518 on Mike Malott | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 98497113, $28,154 (74% win rate)
  2. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 98497113, $20,177 (91% win rate)
  3. 0x31b6...2d92 Outcome 98497113, $4,960 (46% win rate)
  4. 0xe3de...5d6d Outcome 98497113, $4,253
  5. 0xd1d9...5896 Outcome 98497113, $3,445 (40% win rate)
  6. 0x4c31...5240 Outcome 98497113, $3,375 (97% win rate)
  7. 0xc693...72db Outcome 98497113, $3,221
  8. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 98497113, $3,075
  9. 0x7b88...5d08 Outcome 98497113, $2,604 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x66ba...621f Outcome 98497113, $2,284 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Gilbert Burns" if Gilbert Burns is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mike Malott at UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott, scheduled for April 18, 2026. It will resolve to "Mike Malott" if Mike Malott is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 2, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

39d ago

$38,081 on Gilbert Burns at 30¢

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

39d ago

$7,038 on Mike Malott at 71¢

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

39d ago

$21,003 on Gilbert Burns at 30¢

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

39d ago

$1,190 on Mike Malott at 71¢

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

40d ago

$36,665 on Mike Malott at 72¢

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)

45d ago

$1,518 on Mike Malott at 78¢

Related Theses