UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)
5 signals across 1 market · $81,067 tracked · resolves Aug 9, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda in the UFC Fight Night lightweight prelims. The event tracks both fighter-win outcomes, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout is a draw, No Contest, canceled, or postponed past the deadline; PolySpotter is tracking $3,250 in smart money and one signal, including a recent Sousa buy from a serial 90% winner.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Six-wallet Sousa buying cluster
Six wallets deployed $55,059 to buy Manoel Sousa amid an 820x volume spike, including highly profitable cross-market bettors with established UFC-style event activity.
$55,059Score: 8.3 - Serial 90% winner adds to Sousa
A highly experienced serial trader with a 90% win rate is adding to an existing Sousa position, with the new bet representing most recent market volume.
$3,250Wallet win rate: 90%Score: 4.3 - Serial UFC bettor buys the favorite
A $2.9K addition by a highly experienced trader coincided with an extreme 1,392x volume spike and a 10.5-point price rise.
$2,942Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 4.2 - Profitable serial trader buys Sousa
A highly profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $16.9K bet on Manoel Sousa amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, with the price already moving from 76% to 84%.
$16,867Wallet win rate: 65%Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial bettor adds to Sousa
A profitable serial cross-market bettor with 166 resolved trades and $66,700 in gains is adding to an existing Sousa position, though the market is fairly liquid and the entry is near current odds.
$2,950Wallet win rate: 66%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xfe787d…0319$16,867 · 1 market · 1 alert · 65% wins
- 0xed107a…d2e5$3,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0xd1d99f…5896$2,950 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
- 0xc2e535…b3a5$2,942 · 1 market · 1 alert · 66% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Sousa vs. Miranda?
This event page tracks the market-implied odds for Manoel Sousa and Richie Miranda. Check the live market prices for the latest probability estimates, as they can change when traders buy or sell shares.
What is the smart money doing on Sousa vs. Miranda?
PolySpotter is tracking $3,250 in smart money across the event and one signal. The latest alert says a serial 90% winner added to Sousa.
When does the Sousa vs. Miranda prediction market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official result of the fight, with the event deadline listed as August 9, 2026. If the fight is canceled or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, it resolves 50-50.
What happens if Sousa vs. Miranda ends in a draw or No Contest?
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, or is not scored, the market resolves 50-50 rather than awarding the outcome to either fighter.