Part of: UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Richie Miranda at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Richie Miranda" if Richie Miranda is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,067.

Categories: Games, Sports, UFC

Notable Trades

Serial UFC bettor buys the favorite

A $2.9K addition by a highly experienced trader coincided with an extreme 1,392x volume spike and a 10.5-point price rise.

  • This bettor has 1,966 resolved trades, a 66% win rate, and $252K in lifetime profit.
  • A $2,942 buy at 75¢ helped precede a move to 84¢, while market activity reached 1,392 times its historical average.
  • The position adds to an existing Manoel Sousa holding, signaling increased conviction rather than a new speculative entry.

$2,942 on Manoel Sousa | Wallet win rate: 65%

Profitable serial trader buys Sousa

A highly profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $16.9K bet on Manoel Sousa amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, with the price already moving from 76% to 84%.

  • This bettor is up $34.8M across 36,141 resolved trades, with a 63% win rate.
  • They committed $16,867 to Manoel Sousa at 76%, a large position relative to the market's $15,103 liquidity.
  • The market saw a 1,392x historical volume spike, while Sousa's odds rose from 76% to 84%.

$16,867 on Manoel Sousa | Wallet win rate: 64%

Six-wallet Sousa buying cluster

Six wallets deployed $55,059 to buy Manoel Sousa amid an 820x volume spike, including highly profitable cross-market bettors with established UFC-style event activity.

  • Six wallets committed $55,059 to Manoel Sousa at 75–76¢, representing most of the market’s recent volume.
  • The cluster includes a bettor with 63% wins and $34.8M lifetime profit, plus two profitable bettors winning 66% of resolved trades.
  • Most wallets are adding to existing Sousa positions, while the sudden 820x volume surge reinforces the coordinated conviction.

$55,059 on Manoel Sousa

Profitable serial bettor adds to Sousa

A profitable serial cross-market bettor with 166 resolved trades and $66,700 in gains is adding to an existing Sousa position, though the market is fairly liquid and the entry is near current odds.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 166 resolved trades and is up $66,700 lifetime.
  • The wallet is scaling into Manoel Sousa after already investing $4,185 at 75¢.
  • Its 25-event cross-market activity suggests a repeatable sports-trading approach, not a one-off bet.

$2,950 on Manoel Sousa | Wallet win rate: 67%

Serial 90% winner adds to Sousa

A highly experienced serial trader with a 90% win rate is adding to an existing Sousa position, with the new bet representing most recent market volume.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 1,663 resolved trades and earned about $1.7M.
  • The $3,250 purchase adds to an existing Sousa position and represents roughly 73% of flagged 24-hour volume.
  • The entry is 74¢ while Sousa is already priced as a 74% favorite, so the edge appears modest rather than a clear mispricing.

$3,250 on Manoel Sousa | Wallet win rate: 89%

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UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

Manoel Sousa
100¢
Richie Miranda
0¢

This market will resolve to "Manoel Sousa" if Manoel Sousa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Richie Miranda at UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld, scheduled for August 8, 2026. It will resolve to "Richie Miranda" if Richie Miranda is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 22, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

2026-08-08 22:32 UTC

$2,942 on Manoel Sousa at 75¢

75¢→100¢↑25¢

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

2026-08-08 22:39 UTC

$16,867 on Manoel Sousa at 76¢

76¢→100¢↑24¢

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

2026-08-08 22:24 UTC

$55,059 on Manoel Sousa at 76¢

76¢→100¢↑24¢

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

2026-08-08 22:16 UTC

$2,950 on Manoel Sousa at 75¢

75¢→100¢↑25¢

UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Richie Miranda (Lightweight, Prelims)

2026-08-08 17:40 UTC

$3,250 on Manoel Sousa at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

Related Theses