UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)
6 signals across 2 markets · $43,444 tracked · resolves Aug 23, 2026
Follow Polymarket odds for the UFC Fight Night lightweight bout between Mason Jones and MarQuel Mederos. The event tracks both fighter-win outcomes, with a 50-50 resolution if the bout ends in a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or other listed exception. PolySpotter currently tracks $8,557 in smart money and one signal, including a proven serial bettor backing Mason Jones.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor adds to Mason Jones
A highly experienced bettor with a 76% win rate and meaningful historical edge is adding to an existing Mason Jones position amid an exceptional volume spike.
$1,540Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 5.3 - 95% winner adding to Mason Jones
A highly experienced 95% winner is adding to a Mason Jones position amid an extreme volume spike, despite the price moving against the trade.
$1,273Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.2 - Sharp bettor leads three-wallet Mason Jones buy
Three wallets deployed $19,048 on Mason Jones during a 211x volume spike, including one highly profitable bettor, though two wallets were adding to existing positions and the market has since fallen below their entry.
$19,048Score: 5.1 - Proven serial bettor backs Mason Jones
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge placed an $8,557 fresh position on Mason Jones.
$11,776Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.8 - Proven serial bettor backs Mason Jones
A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge placed an $8,557 fresh position on Mason Jones.
$8,557Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 4.8 - 38-0 sharp scaling into Over
A proven UFC bettor with a 38-0 record and substantial edge is adding to an existing Over 2.5 Rounds position at 63%.
$1,250Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0x10a6fa…4d8b$20,333 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 78% wins
- 0xe65b96…271b$1,540 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0xc3e550…519d$1,273 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xfed20f…4671$1,250 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
FAQs
What are the Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos prediction-market odds?
Polymarket odds show the market-implied probability of Mason Jones winning versus MarQuel Mederos winning. Check the live event page for current prices, which can change as traders update their positions.
What is the smart money doing in this UFC fight market?
PolySpotter tracks $8,557 in smart money across this event and one smart money signal. The latest alert reports that a proven serial bettor backed Mason Jones.
Who is favored in the Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos market?
The favored fighter is the one with the higher live Polymarket probability. Because prediction-market prices move over time, review the current event odds rather than relying on a fixed pre-fight forecast.
When does the Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the official UFC result, with resolution expected by August 23, 2026. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond September 5, 2026 resolves the market 50-50.