Part of: UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)

This UFC prediction market covers the lightweight main-card fight between Mason Jones and MarQuel Mederos at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues on August 22, 2026. The market resolves to the officially declared winner, while a draw, No Contest, cancellation, or extended postponement results in 50-50; PolySpotter currently tracks $8,557 in smart-money activity and one signal backing Mason Jones.

This market will resolve to "Mason Jones" if Mason Jones is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,557.

Categories: UFC, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Proven serial bettor backs Mason Jones

A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge placed an $8,557 fresh position on Mason Jones.

  • This bettor has won 77% of 919 resolved trades and is up $1.23 million.
  • The $8,557 wager represents 62% of the market’s 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
  • The entry at 76¢ aligns with Mason Jones’ current odds while benefiting from this trader’s demonstrated edge.

$8,557 on Mason Jones | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0x50e4...1ced Mason Jones, $20,000 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x3dfb...abaf Mason Jones, $17,376 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x32b4...8b21 MarQuel Mederos, $15,000 (57% win rate)
  4. 0x6d3c...d294 MarQuel Mederos, $13,921 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x10a6...4d8b Mason Jones, $11,259 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x6195...b9e3 MarQuel Mederos, $8,840 (70% win rate)
  7. 0xed10...d2e5 Mason Jones, $7,500 (90% win rate)
  8. 0xfed2...4671 MarQuel Mederos, $5,000 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xdc41...dd7e MarQuel Mederos, $4,224 (73% win rate)
  10. 0x21f3...35e3 MarQuel Mederos, $3,696 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring

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Early goal, exactly two total

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Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals

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Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

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Iran New Zealand odds mispriced

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Tunisia keeps Japan close

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England Ghana ends 1-1

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Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

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Argentina-Austria stays low scoring

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Bosnia keeps low-scoring match close

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UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)

Mason Jones
78¢
MarQuel Mederos
23¢

This market will resolve to "Mason Jones" if Mason Jones is officially declared the winner of the fight against MarQuel Mederos at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "MarQuel Mederos" if MarQuel Mederos is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Mason Jones
79¢
74¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Main Card)

2d ago

$8,557 on Mason Jones at 76¢

76¢78¢2¢

Related Theses

Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qat…Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: …
Early goal, exactly two total
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Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2…Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st H…Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 0…
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
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Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half …
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 6 related markets
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
Will New Zealand win on 2026-0…Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15…Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand e…
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 4.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5
England Ghana ends 1-1
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 3 related markets
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5Spread: England (-1.5)
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
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Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Wallet_0x10a6f trades 4 related markets
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Hal…
Bosnia keeps low-scoring match close
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United States vs. Bosnia and H…Spread: United States (-1.5)United States vs. Bosnia and H…