UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
7 signals across 2 markets · $31,302 tracked · resolves May 17, 2026
Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon is a UFC Fight Night women’s strawweight prelim, with prediction-market action focused on how the fight plays out. The event hub tracks the O/U 2.5 rounds market, where recent PolySpotter alerts show a sharp cluster on the Over and activity from a profitable 76% sports bettor.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- New wallet up $10K
New profitable wallet with a 7-0 record bought Caliari at 35¢ before a major volume spike and full repricing to 100¢.
$1,750Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 9.4 - 93% winner backing Caliari
Sharp sports bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Nicolle Caliari at 74¢ despite the modest alert score.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 7.4 - Sharp cluster on Over
Three wallets bought $9.5k of Over in a UFC rounds market, including one bettor with a 76% win rate and another with strong lifetime profit.
$9,469Score: 6.1 - 80% winner backs favorite
Sharp UFC bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and strong cross-market history put $15,000 on Nicolle Caliari at 71¢.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 6.0 - Elite UFC cross-market sharp
Surfaced because this is a proven serial cross-market bettor with an 81% resolved win rate and nearly $900k lifetime profit, despite the small single trade and price moving against entry.
$1,409Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.0 - Profitable serial fight bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 65% record over 218 resolved bets is buying Nicolle Caliari at 71¢, though the trade size is modest relative to market liquidity.
$1,420Wallet win rate: 72%Score: 3.0 - Profitable 76% sports bettor
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate over 491 resolved bets buying Over despite only a modest alert score.
$1,255Wallet win rate: 76%Score: 2.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x898245…59fb$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x6b123a…d642$1,750 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
- 0xe65b96…271b$1,420 · 1 market · 1 alert · 72% wins
- 0x2b15b1…9b08$1,409 · 1 market · 1 alert · 79% wins
- 0x7cebfa…b516$1,255 · 1 market · 1 alert · 76% wins
- 0xeb6922…cfd1$1,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Caliari vs Bannon prediction market odds?
This event page tracks Polymarket-style odds for Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon, including the O/U 2.5 rounds market. Odds can move as traders react to fight-week news, weigh-ins, matchup analysis, and smart money activity.
What is the main market for Caliari vs Bannon?
The listed child market for this event is Over/Under 2.5 rounds, meaning traders are pricing whether the fight is likely to go past the 2.5-round mark or end earlier.
What is the smart money doing on Caliari vs Bannon?
PolySpotter has tracked $10,724 in smart money across this event, with recent alerts highlighting a sharp cluster on the Over and a profitable 76% sports bettor involved in the market.
When does the Caliari vs Bannon market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the UFC Fight Night bout, with resolution expected by May 17, 2026. If the fight is canceled, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, ruled a draw, technical draw, No Contest, or otherwise not scored, the market may resolve 50-50 under the stated rules.
Where can I track Caliari vs Bannon Polymarket activity?
You can use this PolySpotter event hub to follow the Caliari vs. Bannon prediction market, monitor O/U 2.5 rounds pricing, and see smart money alerts as notable bettors take positions.