Part of: UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)
O/U 2.5 Rounds
This prediction market tracks whether Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa will last beyond the 2.5-round threshold. It resolves “Over” if the fight goes past the 2:30 mark of Round 3, and “Under” if it ends before then, with resolution expected on May 17, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $10,724 in smart money across 2 signals, including a sharp cluster on Over and activity from a profitable 76% sports bettor.
Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Nicolle Caliari and Shauna Bannon at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Nicolle Caliari and Shauna Bannon at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa, scheduled for May 16, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond May 30, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,724.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable 76% sports bettor
Surfaced because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate over 491 resolved bets buying Over despite only a modest alert score.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $19,787 lifetime.
- The track record is large: 491 resolved bets with strong results at 54¢ average odds.
- They bought Over at 69¢ in a liquid UFC rounds market, signaling confidence despite the price already being favored.
$1,255 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cluster on Over
Three wallets bought $9.5k of Over in a UFC rounds market, including one bettor with a 76% win rate and another with strong lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $9.5k, making up most of this market’s young trading volume.
- One buyer wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $19.8k lifetime.
- Another participant is up $257k lifetime, adding credibility to the coordinated Over move.
$9,469 on Over
Top Holders
- 0xa710...23c4 — Under, $13,990 (55% win rate)
- 0x6bb3...758e — Over, $6,884 (55% win rate)
- 0xf164...8fa4 — Over, $5,026 (56% win rate)
- 0x7ceb...b516 — Over, $1,818 (76% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Over, $1,093 (52% win rate)
- 0xfa5b...9b61 — Under, $870
- 0xb1cb...2345 — Over, $852 (72% win rate)
- 0xc263...1e83 — Under, $655
- 0x0e52...0ec9 — Over, $155
- 0xaebf...b45f — Under, $147
