UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
11 signals across 2 markets · $179,880 tracked · resolves Jul 12, 2026
This UFC 329 prediction market tracks the lightweight main-card fight between Paddy Pimblett and Benoît Saint Denis, with traders pricing which fighter will be officially declared the winner. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money activity so far, including a recent signal showing 84% winner backing on BSD.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp sports cluster on underdog
Three highly profitable sports-trading wallets, including two with 94% long-run records, bought $17.6k of Paddy Pimblett around 44–45¢ in coordinated flow.
$9,365Score: 6.1 - 94% sharp buying Paddy
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought $6.7k of Paddy at 45¢ amid a pre-fight volume spike.
$6,707Wallet win rate: 92%Score: 5.7 - Elite sharp buying Over
Proven sharp bettor with an 88% long-run win rate and $3.57M profit is buying Over 2.5 rounds at 43¢.
$1,593Wallet win rate: 88%Score: 5.6 - Sharp bettor adding to Paddy
Proven profitable serial sports trader with an 86% historical win rate is adding to a sizable Paddy Pimblett position at 45¢.
$15,000Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 5.6 - Elite sports sharp backs Benoît
A hugely profitable sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $14.9M P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.
$1,998Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 5.4 - 94% winner adding Paddy
A highly profitable sports/cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to a Paddy Pimblett position at 44¢.
$5,000Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 5.4 - 84% winner backs BSD
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 5.0 - Proven whale adding
Proven profitable cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate is adding a large $75k buy to an already sizable Benoît Saint Denis position during a major volume spike.
$75,000Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 5.0 - Three-wallet fight steam
Three wallets added $41.7k on Benoît Saint Denis during a major pre-fight volume spike, though wallet track records are not especially strong.
$12,008Score: 4.1 - Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market history bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢ one week before the fight.
$1,710Wallet win rate: 61%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x837208…5223$75,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 80% wins
- 0xc80756…c12b$49,499 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
- 0x85bbb0…9ada$15,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
- 0x86e99f…4cdf$6,707 · 1 market · 1 alert · 92% wins
- 0x69c5c6…1e01$5,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xdc4f08…4652$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
- 0xc3c3b3…eec8$1,998 · 1 market · 1 alert · 99% wins
- 0xd353c5…f6ac$1,710 · 1 market · 1 alert · 61% wins
- 0x27f738…44b0$1,593 · 1 market · 1 alert · 88% wins
FAQs
What are the Pimblett vs Saint Denis odds on Polymarket?
The Polymarket odds reflect the market-implied chances for Paddy Pimblett or Benoît Saint Denis to win at UFC 329. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money signals so you can see how sharper traders are positioning.
What is the smart money saying about Pimblett vs Saint Denis?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,000 in smart money across this event, with a recent alert showing 84% winner backing for Benoît Saint Denis. That suggests the strongest tracked signal currently favors BSD.
When does the Pimblett vs Saint Denis market resolve?
The market is expected to resolve after the fight result is official, with a listed resolution deadline of July 12, 2026 UTC. If the fight is canceled, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, ruled a draw, technical draw, no contest, or not scored, it resolves 50-50.
What outcomes are traded in this UFC 329 prediction market?
This event trades the fight winner: Paddy Pimblett or Benoît Saint Denis. Because it is a two-outcome fight market, unusual results such as a draw, no contest, cancellation, or qualifying postponement resolve evenly at 50-50.