Part of: UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)
This market will resolve to "Paddy Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Benoît Saint Denis" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $178,287.
Categories: Sports, UFC, Games, UFC 329
Notable Trades
Proven whale adding
Proven profitable cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate is adding a large $75k buy to an already sizable Benoît Saint Denis position during a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.3M lifetime.
- They added $75k to Benoît Saint Denis and already have over $321k invested at a similar price.
- Market volume is running 46x above its historical average ahead of the fight.
$75,000 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp bettor adding to Paddy
Proven profitable serial sports trader with an 86% historical win rate is adding to a sizable Paddy Pimblett position at 45¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $809K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.0M+ deployed across 135 events.
- This is an add-on buy, bringing their Paddy Pimblett exposure above $48K at roughly 45¢.
$15,000 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 88%
94% sharp buying Paddy
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 94% resolved win rate bought $6.7k of Paddy at 45¢ amid a pre-fight volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $1.36M lifetime.
- They have traded 596 markets across 378 events with a 94% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Bought $6.7k of Paddy at 45¢ while market volume is spiking ahead of the fight.
$6,707 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 93%
Sharp sports cluster on underdog
Three highly profitable sports-trading wallets, including two with 94% long-run records, bought $17.6k of Paddy Pimblett around 44–45¢ in coordinated flow.
- Three profitable wallets bought $17.6k of Paddy Pimblett at 44–45¢.
- Two of the bettors win 94% of resolved trades and are up about $1.9M combined.
- One wallet is adding to an existing Paddy position, showing increased conviction.
$9,365 on Paddy Pimblett
94% winner adding Paddy
A highly profitable sports/cross-market bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is adding to a Paddy Pimblett position at 44¢.
- This bettor has won 30 of 32 resolved positions and is up $557K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1.0M deployed across 31 events.
- They are adding to an existing Paddy position at 44¢, signaling continued conviction.
$5,000 on Paddy Pimblett | Wallet win rate: 96%
Elite sports sharp backs Benoît
A hugely profitable sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $14.9M P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $14.9M lifetime.
- They have traded across 202 events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they still see value despite Benoît already being the favorite.
$1,998 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 99%
Three-wallet fight steam
Three wallets added $41.7k on Benoît Saint Denis during a major pre-fight volume spike, though wallet track records are not especially strong.
- Three wallets bought $41.7k of Benoît Saint Denis at 56¢ in the same direction.
- Market volume is running 142x above normal ahead of the fight, suggesting fresh pre-event positioning.
- Two wallets were already holding Saint Denis and added more at the same price.
$12,008 on Benoît Saint Denis
$4.3M-profit fight bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a large sample is adding nearly $50k to an existing Benoît Saint Denis position at 55¢.
- This bettor has won 64% of 550 resolved bets and is up $4.27M lifetime.
- They added $49.5k at 55¢, bringing their Benoît Saint Denis position above $91k invested.
- Their average winning entry is 53¢, so a 55¢ buy is close to the price range where they have historically found edge.
$49,499 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume bettor with a long cross-market history bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢ one week before the fight.
- This bettor is up $103k lifetime across 480 resolved trades.
- They have traded 29 related sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 57¢ implies they see Benoît Saint Denis as meaningfully more likely than the market’s current 56% odds.
$1,710 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 64%
84% winner backs BSD
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Benoît Saint Denis at 57¢.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $84k lifetime.
- They have traded across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
- A $2k buy at 57¢ is meaningful versus the market’s $8.6k 24h volume.
$2,000 on Benoît Saint Denis | Wallet win rate: 87%
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