UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)
5 signals across 1 market · $40,334 tracked · resolves Nov 1, 2026
The UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan prediction market tracks which lightweight fighter is declared the winner. PolySpotter has recorded one smart-money signal so far: a bettor with a reported 21–0 record added to Moicano.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 97% winner joins Nolan flow
A proven 97%-winner is adding to Tom Nolan alongside a large five-wallet flow, though most of the volume comes from a historically losing whale and the price has since fallen.
$19,496Score: 8.6 - 90% winner in coordinated Moicano flow
A proven bettor with a 90% record is buying Moicano amid a 37.6x volume spike and matching bets from two other wallets.
$2,500Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 7.1 - Sharp bettor leads 3-wallet Moicano cluster
Three wallets bought $7,719 of Moicano, including a highly profitable bettor with 90% wins across 120 resolved positions, alongside a sharp volume spike.
$7,719Score: 7.0 - Proven sharp adding to Tom Nolan
A proven, high-volume bettor with 75% wins across 272 resolved trades is adding to a substantial Tom Nolan position at 47¢.
$7,520Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.7 - 21–0 bettor adds to Moicano
A proven bettor with 21 wins from 21 resolved positions is adding to an existing Moicano position at 53¢.
$3,100Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.1
Top wallets in this event
- 0xdd9d90…b730$7,520 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
- 0x4db09d…d3ea$3,100 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x54c23f…23ad$2,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Moicano vs. Nolan?
The market prices the chance of Renato Moicano or Tom Nolan winning. Check the event page for current odds, which can change as traders buy and sell shares.
What is the smart money doing on Moicano vs. Nolan?
PolySpotter reports one smart-money signal totaling $3,100 tracked across the event: a bettor with a reported 21–0 record added to Renato Moicano.
When does the Moicano vs. Nolan market resolve?
The fight is scheduled for October 31, 2026, and the market resolves based on the officially declared winner. A draw, technical draw, No Contest, unscored fight, cancellation, or postponement beyond November 14 results in a 50-50 resolution.
Does the market cover outcomes beyond a Moicano or Nolan win?
Yes. It resolves to Moicano or Nolan if either is officially declared the winner. Specified non-decision outcomes, including a draw or No Contest, resolve 50-50.