Part of: UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Renato Moicano" if Renato Moicano is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tom Nolan at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Tom Nolan" if Tom Nolan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,334.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

97% winner joins Nolan flow

A proven 97%-winner is adding to Tom Nolan alongside a large five-wallet flow, though most of the volume comes from a historically losing whale and the price has since fallen.

One wallet in the group has won 29 of 30 resolved bets, with a 54¢ average entry price, and is adding to its Tom Nolan position.
Five wallets bought Tom Nolan for about $171,000, alongside a 427× volume spike.
The flow is risky: most of the money came from a trader with a $4.1M lifetime loss, and Tom Nolan has fallen from 45¢ to 28¢ since entry.

$19,496 on Tom Nolan

90% winner in coordinated Moicano flow

A proven bettor with a 90% record is buying Moicano amid a 37.6x volume spike and matching bets from two other wallets.

This bettor has won 108 of 120 resolved positions and is up $323,440 lifetime.
Three wallets have bought Moicano for a combined $7,719 as market volume surged to 37.6 times its historical average.
The trade entered at 56¢, with current market odds also favoring Moicano at 56%.

$2,500 on Renato Moicano | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp bettor leads 3-wallet Moicano cluster

Three wallets bought $7,719 of Moicano, including a highly profitable bettor with 90% wins across 120 resolved positions, alongside a sharp volume spike.

A bettor with 90% wins across 120 resolved positions and $323,440 in profit bought Moicano.
Three wallets put $7,719 on Moicano as market volume spiked to 20 times its historical average.
The trades came in around 55¢, while Moicano’s odds have risen 11.5% over the past week.

$7,719 on Renato Moicano

Proven sharp adding to Tom Nolan

A proven, high-volume bettor with 75% wins across 272 resolved trades is adding to a substantial Tom Nolan position at 47¢.

This bettor has won 204 of 272 resolved trades and is up $263,541.
They added $7,520 to an existing $16,000 Tom Nolan position at 47¢.
The wallet trades across 134 events, and its historical win rate is well above its average odds.

$7,520 on Tom Nolan | Wallet win rate: 75%

21–0 bettor adds to Moicano

A proven bettor with 21 wins from 21 resolved positions is adding to an existing Moicano position at 53¢.

This bettor has won all 21 resolved positions and is up $41,834 on $238,891 invested.
They added $3,100 to an existing Moicano position at 53¢ as the market has risen 19% over the past week.

$3,100 on Renato Moicano | Wallet win rate: 100%