UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
3 signals across 1 market · $12,276 tracked · resolves Sep 27, 2026
This UFC Fight Night prediction market covers the women’s strawweight bout between Valesca Machado and Melissa Amaya, scheduled for September 26, 2026. Traders can follow the market’s odds on either fighter winning; recent PolySpotter alerts show multiple smart-money signals backing Machado.

Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- Five-wallet Machado buying surge
Five wallets bought $9.8K of Valesca Machado, driving a 17.7-point price move, with two participants showing strong profitable records.
$9,830Score: 7.6 - Proven bettor adding to Machado
A proven, highly profitable bettor added to an existing Machado position, with an 87% record and activity across 32 events, though the market now shows 100%.
$1,159Wallet win rate: 87%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A profitable, high-volume bettor with a 71% record and activity across 46 events placed a sizable UFC wager, making this worth monitoring despite the market's high liquidity.
$1,287Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0x17b8dd…d5d1$1,287 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0x6b123a…d642$1,159 · 1 market · 1 alert · 87% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Machado vs. Amaya?
The market tracks the odds of Valesca Machado or Melissa Amaya being declared the winner. Check the live market page for current prices, which can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing in the Machado vs. Amaya market?
PolySpotter has tracked three smart-money signals totaling $12,276 across the event. Recent alerts include a five-wallet buying surge for Machado and a proven bettor adding to her position.
When does the Machado vs. Amaya prediction market resolve?
The bout is scheduled for September 26, 2026, with the market resolving based on the official fight result. Its listed resolution deadline is September 27, 2026.
What happens if the fight is a draw or does not take place?
Under the market rules, a draw, technical draw, No Contest, unscored or canceled fight, or postponement beyond October 10, 2026, results in a 50-50 resolution.