Part of: UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

This market will resolve to "Valesca Machado" if Valesca Machado is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Amaya at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Amaya" if Melissa Amaya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,276.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor adding to Machado

A proven, highly profitable bettor added to an existing Machado position, with an 87% record and activity across 32 events, though the market now shows 100%.

  • This bettor has won 87 of 100 resolved bets and is up $134,390.
  • They added $1,159 to an existing $15,610 Machado position and have traded across 32 events.
  • The entry was 81¢, but the market now shows 100%, making a comparable entry unavailable at the suggested ceiling.

$1,159 on Valesca Machado | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A profitable, high-volume bettor with a 71% record and activity across 46 events placed a sizable UFC wager, making this worth monitoring despite the market's high liquidity.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 314 resolved positions and is up $94,428.
  • They have traded 46 events and placed $1,287 on Valesca Machado at 83¢.
  • The market has since moved to 100%, though current pricing may leave little room to copy.

$1,287 on Valesca Machado | Wallet win rate: 73%

Five-wallet Machado buying surge

Five wallets bought $9.8K of Valesca Machado, driving a 17.7-point price move, with two participants showing strong profitable records.

  • Five wallets put $9,830 behind Machado, alongside a 17.7-point price rise in a market with just $743 in liquidity.
  • Two buyers have strong records: one wins 87% of 100 bets and another wins 76% of 59, both beating their average entry odds.
  • The cluster's weighted entry was about 74¢; the current ask is 78¢, so the available price is already less favorable.

$9,830 on Valesca Machado

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 — Melissa Amaya, $16,809 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x88c3...bea3 — Melissa Amaya, $11,689 (92% win rate)
  3. 0x0079...31c7 — Melissa Amaya, $1,252 (71% win rate)
  4. 0x0a77...9d74 — Melissa Amaya, $1,183 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xc8d9...df36 — Melissa Amaya, $1,035 (96% win rate)
  6. 0xe650...0944 — Melissa Amaya, $552
  7. 0x75cf...be46 — Melissa Amaya, $472
  8. 0xebff...70e5 — Melissa Amaya, $300
  9. 0xf6ee...0e41 — Melissa Amaya, $300 (52% win rate)
  10. 0xd202...1ef5 — Melissa Amaya, $291 (70% win rate)

Related Theses

Fight will end before decision

Covers 1 related market

Sumudaerji will win his fight

Covers 1 related market

Fight lasts beyond the first round

Covers 1 related market

Fight ends before five rounds

Covers 2 related markets

Petrino will defeat Spivac

Covers 1 related market

Rodrigues defeats Hernandez decisively

Covers 1 related market

Adam Darby wins against Patrick Rivera

Covers 1 related market

Sofia Montenegro will win

Covers 1 related market

Fight ends before decision

Covers 1 related market

Fight will end before decision

Covers 1 related market

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Valesca Machado
100¢
Melissa Amaya
0¢

This market will resolve to "Valesca Machado" if Valesca Machado is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Amaya at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Amaya" if Melissa Amaya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

2026-09-27 00:35 UTC

$1,159 on Valesca Machado at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

2026-09-27 00:35 UTC

$1,287 on Valesca Machado at 83¢

83¢→100¢↑17¢

UFC Fight Night: Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

2026-09-27 00:30 UTC

$9,830 on Valesca Machado at 74¢

74¢→100¢↑26¢

Related Theses