Croatia vs. Spain
15 signals across 3 markets · $3,617,074 tracked · resolves Oct 6, 2026
Follow the Polymarket prediction market for the UEFA Nations League match between Croatia and Spain on October 6, 2026. The listed market asks whether Spain will win, and a recent PolySpotter alert shows a proven bettor scaling into “Yes.”
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Four-wallet No cluster, 29x volume spike
A large No position from four wallets coincided with a 29.5x volume spike and sharp price movement, though a separate Yes cluster makes the flow mixed.
$10,856Score: 7.5 - Six-wallet draw-buying cluster
Six wallets committed nearly $14,000 to Yes amid a 39.9x volume spike and sharp price rise, though the market has already repriced to 70%.
$13,957Score: 7.3 - Three-wallet coordinated No position
Three wallets aligned on No for $6,549, including established profitable traders, though the position is near the current market price and the market is liquid.
$6,549Score: 6.1 - 92% winner adding to Spain Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and strong historical edge added another $15.8K to an existing Spain Yes position.
$15,809Wallet win rate: 96%Score: 5.6 - 83% winner backing 30¢ draw
A highly profitable bettor with 339 resolved positions and an 83% win rate is making a fresh $3,102 bet on the draw at 30¢.
$3,102Wallet win rate: 83%Score: 5.6 - New whale adding to a $2M position
A wallet less than a day old made 13 rapid Yes buys totaling about $1.57M, adding to an existing $1.99M position as market volume surged.
$1,574,010Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.5 - New whale adding to a $2M position
A wallet less than a day old made 13 rapid Yes buys totaling about $1.57M, adding to an existing $1.99M position as market volume surged.
$1,437,724Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.5 - Profitable new whale adding to Spain Yes
A wallet flagged with a 12–0 record at 55% average odds added $370k to an already $1.99M Spain Yes position as market volume surged.
$370,053Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 5.4 - Three-wallet Croatia bullish flow
Three wallets put about $23.5K toward Croatia, including a historically strong bettor selling No as the market moved sharply toward Yes.
$23,541Score: 5.3 - New whale adding to $1.5M Spain position
The wallet added $136K to an already $1.52M Yes position, showing substantial repeated conviction despite conflicting win-rate history.
$136,286Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 4.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xcdcccd…935a$3,518,073 · 1 market · 4 alerts · 56% wins
- 0x1e386b…fd47$17,205 · 1 market · 1 alert · 90% wins
- 0x6c26cb…98b9$15,809 · 1 market · 1 alert · 96% wins
- 0x032eb1…2a9e$5,026 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 76% wins
- 0x3f985e…0aa1$3,102 · 1 market · 1 alert · 83% wins
- 0x751776…0353$1,660 · 1 market · 1 alert · 77% wins
- 0x076daa…8d4c$1,297 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Croatia vs Spain?
The event page tracks a market on whether Spain will win. Check the live market for current odds, which can change as traders place bets.
What is the smart money doing on Croatia vs Spain?
PolySpotter reported a proven bettor scaling into Yes on the Spain-to-win market. The event tracks $1,660 in smart money and one signal.
What outcomes are traded in this event?
The listed child market asks whether Spain will win on October 6, 2026. It does not provide separate listed markets for a Croatia win or a draw.
When does the Croatia vs Spain market resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 6, 2026. The event metadata lists a resolution deadline of 18:45 UTC that day.