Part of: Croatia vs. Spain

Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 6, 2026 If Spain wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,552,721.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday

Notable Trades

Four-wallet No cluster, 29x volume spike

A large No position from four wallets coincided with a 29.5x volume spike and sharp price movement, though a separate Yes cluster makes the flow mixed.

Four wallets bought $127,934 of No, including one established, profitable trader adding to an already large No position.
Trading volume spiked 29.5x above its historical average, while Yes odds fell 42% over the past day.
The signal is not unanimous: a separate detection reports $45,880 of Yes buying, so the market has notable opposing flow.

$10,856 on No

Profitable new whale adding to Spain Yes

A wallet flagged with a 12–0 record at 55% average odds added $370k to an already $1.99M Spain Yes position as market volume surged.

The bettor is flagged 12–0 on resolved bets, with average entry odds of 55%.
They added $370,053 at 79¢ to an existing $1.99M Spain Yes position.
Market volume is running 162.7× its historical average, alongside a 6% weekly price rise.

$370,053 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

New whale adding to a $2M position

A wallet less than a day old made 13 rapid Yes buys totaling about $1.57M, adding to an existing $1.99M position as market volume surged.

The wallet added about $1.57M in Yes buys to an existing position of nearly $2M, showing substantial conviction.
The 13 buys coincided with a reported 692× volume spike, despite the market already having deep liquidity.
The wallet is less than a day old, so its limited track record offers little confirmation of an edge.

$1,437,724 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

New whale adding to a $2M position

A wallet less than a day old made 13 rapid Yes buys totaling about $1.57M, adding to an existing $1.99M position as market volume surged.

The wallet added about $1.57M in Yes buys to an existing position of nearly $2M, showing substantial conviction.
The 13 buys coincided with a reported 692× volume spike, despite the market already having deep liquidity.
The wallet is less than a day old, so its limited track record offers little confirmation of an edge.

$1,574,010 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

New whale adding to $1.5M Spain position

The wallet added $136K to an already $1.52M Yes position, showing substantial repeated conviction despite conflicting win-rate history.

The bettor added $136K to an existing $1.52M Spain Yes position.
This wallet has made 13 flagged bets totaling about $1.35M in less than a day.
Spain Yes is trading near 78¢, up 6 percentage points over the week.

$136,286 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial trader backs Spain

A highly experienced, profitable trader with a large sample and a 75% win rate bought Spain Yes amid a 10x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 75% of 8,421 resolved bets and is up about $777K lifetime.
They bought $3,101 of Spain Yes as market volume surged to 10 times its historical average.

$1,925 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

92% winner adding to Spain Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 92% win rate and strong historical edge added another $15.8K to an existing Spain Yes position.

This bettor has won 54 of 59 resolved positions and is up $149,776.
They added $15,809 to an existing Spain Yes position at 79¢, bringing their investment to about $43,834.
The wallet has traded across 58 events, with a 92% win rate and $203,815 in activity.

$15,809 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial trader backs Spain

A highly experienced, profitable trader with a large sample and a 75% win rate bought Spain Yes amid a 10x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 75% of 8,421 resolved bets and is up about $777K lifetime.
They bought $3,101 of Spain Yes as market volume surged to 10 times its historical average.

$3,101 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Proven $8.8M cross-market bettor

A highly active cross-market trader with 36,827 resolved bets and $8.8M lifetime profit bought No at 31¢, though the trade is close to current market odds.

This bettor has won 67% of 36,827 resolved bets and is up about $8.8M lifetime.
They bought No at 31¢, near the current 31% market price, so the trade is supported more by their track record than by an obvious price discrepancy.

$1,297 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Proven bettor scaling into Spain Yes

A proven bettor with 1,251 resolved trades is adding a sizable position in a quiet market, despite already holding Yes.

This bettor has won 69% of 1,251 resolved trades and is up about $231,000.
They added $1,660 to an existing Yes position in a market with only $552 in 24-hour volume.
The new entry is 70¢, while the market currently prices Spain’s win at about 69%.

$1,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%