Italy vs. Türkiye
9 signals across 2 markets · $149,710 tracked · resolves Oct 5, 2026
This Italy vs. Türkiye Polymarket event tracks whether Türkiye will win their UEFA Nations League match scheduled for October 5, 2026. The event has one market, and a recent PolySpotter alert shows a large bettor adding to the No position on a Türkiye win.
Markets (2)
Top trades across all markets
- Funded cluster backs Italy No
Three wallets put $20.7K on No, with linked-wallet history and a highly profitable high-volume bettor reinforcing the coordinated position.
$20,707Score: 9.1 - Six-wallet cluster with a 95% winner
Six wallets bought Yes for $54,787, including a highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and a significant volume spike.
$62,651Score: 8.2 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader bought No, supported by a 74% win rate across 2,429 resolved bets and nearly $2M in profit.
$1,691Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A repeatedly active cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L is adding to an existing Italy position, though their win rate is close to their average winning entry odds.
$1,960Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader bought No, supported by a 74% win rate across 2,429 resolved bets and nearly $2M in profit.
$1,066Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 4.3 - Profitable serial trader adds to Italy position
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader added $32,000 to an existing Italy Yes position, bringing their investment to over $78,000.
$32,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 3.8 - Large bettor adding to No position
The wallet added a $2,800 No bet to an existing $4,000 position in an exceptionally quiet, thinly liquid market, showing notable directional conviction despite no proven track record.
$2,800Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.7 - Profitable bettor scaling into Italy
A consistently profitable cross-market trader added $10.8K to an existing $46K Italy position amid a 66x volume spike.
$10,835Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 3.6 - Profitable bettor scaling into Italy
A consistently profitable cross-market trader added $10.8K to an existing $46K Italy position amid a 66x volume spike.
$16,000Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0xd3911b…b109$58,835 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 73% wins
- 0xef7684…f702$2,800 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x3f3aa7…e8fd$2,757 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xf9e747…0a87$1,960 · 1 market · 1 alert · 86% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Italy vs. Türkiye?
The event tracks one outcome: whether Türkiye will win. Check the live market for current odds; they can change as traders place bets.
What is smart money doing on the Türkiye win market?
PolySpotter has tracked $2,800 in smart money across the event and one signal: a large bettor adding to the No position on Türkiye winning.
When does the Italy vs. Türkiye market resolve?
The match is scheduled for October 5, 2026. The event listing says the market resolves by October 5, 2026, at 18:45 UTC.
What outcomes can I trade in this event?
This event contains one market asking whether Türkiye will win. It does not list separate markets for an Italy win or a draw.