Part of: Italy vs. Türkiye
Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 5, 2026 If Italy wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $146,910.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, UEFA Nations League, UNL Matchday
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader bought No, supported by a 74% win rate across 2,429 resolved bets and nearly $2M in profit.
- This bettor wins 74% of 2,429 resolved bets and is up nearly $2M.
- They put $1,066 behind No at 33¢, against a market pricing Yes at 66%.
- The wallet has traded across 998 events, showing an extensive record beyond this single bet.
$1,691 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader bought No, supported by a 74% win rate across 2,429 resolved bets and nearly $2M in profit.
- This bettor wins 74% of 2,429 resolved bets and is up nearly $2M.
- They put $1,066 behind No at 33¢, against a market pricing Yes at 66%.
- The wallet has traded across 998 events, showing an extensive record beyond this single bet.
$1,066 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Six-wallet cluster with a 95% winner
Six wallets bought Yes for $54,787, including a highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and a significant volume spike.
- Six wallets committed $54,787 to Yes, including one $40,305 bet near 64¢.
- One bettor in the cluster has won 62 of 65 resolved bets and is up $32,354.
- Trading volume spiked to 28 times its historical average as the group took the same side.
$62,651 on Yes
Funded cluster backs Italy No
Three wallets put $20.7K on No, with linked-wallet history and a highly profitable high-volume bettor reinforcing the coordinated position.
- Three wallets placed $20.7K on No, and six wallets have shared a funder across prior activity.
- The largest bettor has made $8.2M across more than 111,000 resolved trades.
- No was bought around 30¢–32¢ while current odds are 32¢, with the market showing a 12.8× volume spike.
$20,707 on No
Profitable bettor scaling into Italy
A consistently profitable cross-market trader added $10.8K to an existing $46K Italy position amid a 66x volume spike.
- This bettor is up $286K across 592 resolved bets, with a 69% win rate.
- They added $10.8K to an existing $46K Yes position as market volume spiked 66x above average.
- The Yes price has climbed 15.5% over the past week, supporting the direction of the trade.
$16,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
A repeatedly active cross-market trader with positive lifetime P&L is adding to an existing Italy position, though their win rate is close to their average winning entry odds.
- This bettor is up $13,747 across 56 resolved bets and has traded across 25 events.
- They added $1,960 to an existing Italy position at 70¢, matching their prior average entry.
- Their 79% win rate is close to their 78¢ average winning price, so the track record suggests modest rather than exceptional edge.
$1,960 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable bettor scaling into Italy
A consistently profitable cross-market trader added $10.8K to an existing $46K Italy position amid a 66x volume spike.
- This bettor is up $286K across 592 resolved bets, with a 69% win rate.
- They added $10.8K to an existing $46K Yes position as market volume spiked 66x above average.
- The Yes price has climbed 15.5% over the past week, supporting the direction of the trade.
$10,835 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Profitable serial trader adds to Italy position
A highly experienced, profitable cross-market trader added $32,000 to an existing Italy Yes position, bringing their investment to over $78,000.
- A trader with 592 resolved bets is up $286,481 lifetime and added another $32,000 to their existing Yes position.
- Their two buys at 69¢ bring their total investment in Italy Yes to about $78,000.
- The trader has made bets across 246 events, though their 69% win rate is only modestly above their average winning entry price of 67¢.
$32,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x99e4...e4c4 — No, $35,332 (65% win rate)
- 0xd3a0...f136 — No, $24,709 (92% win rate)
- 0x2220...1a0f — No, $22,000 (62% win rate)
- 0xfb07...e2cc — No, $15,000 (95% win rate)
- 0xc974...b33b — No, $12,816 (89% win rate)
- 0x3f3a...e8fd — No, $12,091 (79% win rate)
- 0x0e97...8ffa — No, $10,010 (48% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — No, $10,000 (33% win rate)
- 0xbeb1...4687 — No, $9,933
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — No, $9,683 (83% win rate)
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