US bank failure by June 30?
1 signal across 1 market · $1,197 tracked · resolves Jun 30, 2026
This event tracks Polymarket odds on whether any US bank will fail by June 30, based on the FDIC Failed Bank List. Traders are pricing a Yes/No outcome, and PolySpotter has flagged $1,197 in smart money activity, including a recent signal where a 97% winner caught the move.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
Top wallets in this event
- 0x6ffb43…a834$1,197 · 1 market · 1 alert · 97% wins
FAQs
What are the odds of a US bank failure by June 30?
The live Polymarket price reflects the market-implied odds that at least one US bank appears on the FDIC Failed Bank List with a closing date before the deadline. PolySpotter tracks the event price alongside smart money activity so you can see whether informed traders are leaning Yes or No.
What does this Polymarket event resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if any US bank fails within the specified timeframe and is listed on the FDIC Failed Bank List with an eligible closing date. If no qualifying bank failure is listed by the deadline, it resolves to No.
What is the smart money doing on this bank failure market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,197 in smart money across this event and one recent signal. The latest alert noted that a 97% winner caught a move, suggesting a historically strong trader participated around a meaningful price shift.
When does the US bank failure market resolve?
The event is scheduled around the June 30, 2026 deadline. Resolution depends on FDIC reporting, so if a potential bank failure occurs near the deadline but the FDIC list has not updated yet, final resolution may wait for official confirmation.