US bank failure by June 30?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,197.

Notable Trades

97% winner caught move

A highly successful serial cross-market trader bought Yes at 88¢ before the market moved to 100¢, though the trade is now likely too expensive to chase.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up about $262K lifetime.
They bought Yes at 88¢ before the market jumped to 100¢, catching a sharp 12-point move.
The bet was large relative to this quiet market, equal to about 64% of recent 24h volume.

$1,197 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

0x81a6...762e — Outcome 71417336, $1,000
0xd18d...c3d7 — Outcome 71417336, $304
0x0262...a9d2 — Outcome 71417336, $90
0xb94f...04d8 — Outcome 71417336, $54
0x9879...bc99 — Outcome 71417336, $50
0xa0dd...1b9b — Outcome 71417336, $50 (83% win rate)
0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 71417336, $30
0xf528...7e5b — Outcome 71417336, $24
0x9c69...1938 — Outcome 71417336, $20
0xf2cf...464b — Outcome 71417336, $15

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Iran deadline arbitrage opportunity

Covers 2 related markets

US bank failure by June 30?

ResolvedUS bank failure by June 30?$1,197 tracked1 signalFinanceBusinessEconomy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/failed-bank-list/; however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.