USD.AI FDV above ___ one day after launch?
6 signals across 4 markets · $42,408 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This Polymarket event tracks whether USD.AI’s token will reach key fully diluted valuation levels one day after launch, with markets covering $200M, $300M, $400M and $1B thresholds. PolySpotter is tracking $42,408 in smart money activity across the event, including recent signals like a 94% winner buying a rebound, a breakout crypto buyer, and profitable bettors buying dips and reversals.

Markets (4)
Top trades across all markets
- 94% winner buying rebound
A wallet with a 94% hit rate is taking a fresh cross-market position here by effectively buying Yes at 68¢ after a sharp move, making this worth watching despite the niche token-launch market.
$4,468Wallet win rate: 94%Score: 7.0 - Breakout buyer in crypto market
A trader bought into a sharp breakout on a fast-moving crypto launch market after a 40-point price expansion, which is notable despite the wallet's only average long-term track record.
$1,620Wallet win rate: 48%Score: 5.0 - USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Four wallets piled into Yes for $23.5k and all got materially better prices than the current 36¢, suggesting coordinated conviction in a market that had recently sold off.
$23,459Score: 4.5 - Event thesis bettor
Worth surfacing because the wallet has a decent early track record and is pressing a correlated thesis across the same event into a market seeing an extreme volume and price surge.
$7,274Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 4.0 - Profitable bettor buys dip
A profitable wallet with a 72% hit rate made a sizable contrarian buy on No into a wide-spread market after a sharp 1-day drop, making this worth watching despite only moderate signal strength.
$3,988Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 3.0 - Winning bettor buys reversal
A bettor with a solid 75% win rate bought No right after a sharp downside reversal in a fast-moving crypto launch market, making this a modest but notable contrarian signal.
$1,600Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 1.9
Top wallets in this event
- 0xe51e9a…5e7f$7,274 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0x996365…1674$4,468 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0x65eac1…476c$3,988 · 1 market · 1 alert · 71% wins
- 0x10846d…d520$1,620 · 1 market · 1 alert · 48% wins
- 0xa7b6ea…f80a$1,600 · 1 market · 1 alert · 75% wins
FAQs
What are the current USD.AI FDV prediction market odds?
This event includes separate Polymarket odds for whether USD.AI’s fully diluted valuation will be above $200M, $300M, $400M, and $1B one day after launch. The market prices show how traders are pricing each FDV threshold as launch expectations change.
What is smart money doing in the USD.AI FDV markets?
PolySpotter has tracked $42,408 in smart money across 6 signals for this event. Recent alerts include a 94% winner buying a rebound, a breakout buyer in the crypto market, an event thesis bettor, and profitable bettors buying dips and reversals.
How will the USD.AI FDV markets resolve?
Each market resolves Yes if USD.AI’s fully diluted valuation is above that market’s listed threshold one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, with the snapshot taken at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch.
What counts as USD.AI’s token launch for this market?
For these markets, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched. If the token is not publicly tradable, the one-day-after-launch FDV condition has not started.
Why are there multiple USD.AI FDV markets?
The event is structured around several valuation thresholds rather than one outcome. This lets traders express different views on whether USD.AI launches at a modest valuation, clears mid-range levels like $300M or $400M, or reaches a much larger $1B FDV.