Part of: "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,139.

Categories: rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Movies, Culture, box office

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market trader

Experienced profitable wallet with 1,439 resolved bets is buying No on a box-office market where recent price action already supports that side.

This bettor has a long track record: 1,439 resolved bets, 68% wins, and $86.4k in lifetime profit.
They have traded across 290 events and over $1.08M in cross-market positions, suggesting a repeatable research process.
The market has moved toward No in the last day, and this trade adds $1.0k at 78¢ with the same direction.

$1,049 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial market bettor

Experienced serial cross-market trader with a long profitable record is buying No in a thin, wide-spread box office market.

This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $85.9K lifetime.
They have traded 480 markets across 289 events, suggesting a repeatable niche strategy rather than a one-off bet.
The $1.1K No buy is meaningful in a thin market with only about $4.8K liquidity.

$1,090 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

Top Holders

0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 12463370, $37,351 (72% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14949785, $32,079
0xb94c...b5b5 — Outcome 12463370, $3,294 (68% win rate)
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 12463370, $1,598 (48% win rate)
0x43cb...84df — Outcome 12463370, $1,264
0xe962...663a — Outcome 12463370, $1,157 (43% win rate)
0xfcaf...5f30 — Outcome 12463370, $844
0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 12463370, $824 (95% win rate)
0x21a3...9e97 — Outcome 12463370, $630
0x159e...050e — Outcome 12463370, $450

Related Theses

Claude 5 launches by April

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Covers 1 related market

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Resolved"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office$2,139 tracked2 signalsrewards 100, 4.5, 100MoviesCulturebox office

This market will resolve according to how much "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (June 12 - June 14) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by June 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.