What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
12 signals across 4 markets · $38,189 tracked · resolves Jan 1, 2027
This event tracks Polymarket odds on Hyperliquid’s 2026 price path, focused on whether HYPE will dip to $16 by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter is monitoring smart money activity across the event, including a quiet-market No buy from a trader with a 91% win rate, suggesting some sharp bettors are positioning against a drop to that level.
Markets (4)
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?4 signals · $11,394 tracked
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?4 signals · $11,340 tracked
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?1 signal · $8,200 tracked
- Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?3 signals · $7,254 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- Sharp bettor taking profits
Sharp profitable wallet sold Yes after a prior low-cost Yes position, so it is worth watching but may be profit-taking rather than a fresh bearish bet.
$1,328Wallet win rate: 84%Score: 5.0 - 91% winner buying quiet-market No
A high-win-rate wallet is taking a moderate contrarian No position in a quiet, wide-spread crypto market while also trading a related market.
$1,470Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.5 - Cross-market HYPE whale
A large crypto-focused wallet is adding an $8.2k Yes bet as part of a broader cross-market HYPE thesis, though its lifetime P&L is negative so the signal is conviction rather than proven sharpness.
$8,200Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 4.3 - 91% winner buying NO
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No as part of a cross-market Hyperliquid downside thesis.
$3,484Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 99% winner buying NO
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet record adding a meaningful No position in a relatively quiet HYPE market.
$2,063Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.0 - 99% win-rate crypto bettor
Sharp-wallet override: a highly profitable 99% win-rate bettor made a $4.5k No buy that nearly matched the market's full 24h volume and is part of a cross-market HYPE thesis.
$4,456Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.0 - 99% winner buying NO
Surface because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 99% resolved-bet record adding a meaningful No position in a relatively quiet HYPE market.
$1,352Wallet win rate: 99%Score: 4.0 - 85% winner buying downside
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying Yes on a thin HYPE downside market despite only weak low-activity signals.
$4,661Wallet win rate: 85%Score: 2.0 - Sharp crypto bettor buying NO
Surfaced because a proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate made a $4.1k No bet that was over 3x the market's 24h volume.
$4,050Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 1.6 - 98% winner backs dip risk
Sharp wallet with a 98% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying Yes on a Hyperliquid dip, with a $3.5k trade that is large versus recent market activity.
$3,468Wallet win rate: 98%Score: 1.3
Top wallets in this event
- 0xaec386…22df$8,200 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
- 0xc1a586…f290$7,871 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 99% wins
- 0xb2cd99…c187$6,441 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 85% wins
- 0x42fa34…1fc7$4,954 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
- 0xb47adf…6d60$4,050 · 1 market · 1 alert · 82% wins
- 0xeafb3d…3179$3,468 · 1 market · 1 alert · 98% wins
- 0x5778c7…a682$1,876 · 1 market · 1 alert · 94% wins
- 0xad7ccc…6244$1,328 · 1 market · 1 alert · 84% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Hyperliquid hitting $16 in 2026?
The event centers on whether Hyperliquid will dip to $16 by December 31, 2026. The live Polymarket price reflects the market’s implied probability, while PolySpotter tracks smart money signals behind the move.
What is smart money doing on this Hyperliquid prediction market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,470 in smart money activity across this event. The latest signal showed a high-performing trader with a 91% win rate buying No in a quiet market, meaning they were betting against Hyperliquid dipping to $16.
Does a No buy mean traders are bullish on Hyperliquid?
A No position on the $16 dip market means the trader is betting Hyperliquid will not fall to $16 before the deadline. That can be interpreted as a relatively bullish or defensive view, though it is not financial advice.
When does this Hyperliquid 2026 market resolve?
This event is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027, based on whether Hyperliquid dipped to $16 on or before December 31, 2026.