Part of: What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?
This prediction market asks whether Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) will trade at $16 or lower on any Binance 1-minute candle low between Nov. 24, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2026. It resolves Yes immediately if the $16 threshold is hit; otherwise it resolves No after the deadline, with final resolution scheduled for Jan. 1, 2027. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,780 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, with recent alerts showing both No buying from high-win-rate traders and some sharp Yes-side interest.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Hyperliquid (HYPEUSDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPEUSDT “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance HYPEUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,394.
Categories: hyperliquid, Crypto, Yearly, Hit Price, Crypto Prices
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp buying YES
Despite a weak standalone signal, this is worth surfacing because a profitable 85% winner is effectively buying the long-shot Yes side on a crypto price-dip market.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $40,287 lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Yes at 11¢, betting Hyperliquid will touch $16 by the end of 2026.
- The trade is meaningful versus recent activity, with $1,780 placed on a relatively quiet market.
$1,780 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
85% winner buying downside
Sharp profitable wallet with an 85% resolved-bet win rate is effectively buying Yes on a thin HYPE downside market despite only weak low-activity signals.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up about $40K lifetime.
- They put $4.7K behind HYPE hitting $16, a large trade relative to the market’s daily volume.
- Selling No at 89¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 11¢, implying a high-upside downside bet.
$4,661 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
91% winner buying NO
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with a 91% resolved win rate is buying No as part of a cross-market Hyperliquid downside thesis.
- This bettor has won 91% of 110 resolved trades and is up $31k lifetime.
- They have put $4.6k across related Hyperliquid markets, pointing to a clear view that HYPE avoids a deep dip.
- Entry at 88¢ is a high-probability bet with about 12¢ upside if No resolves.
$3,484 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% winner buying quiet-market No
A high-win-rate wallet is taking a moderate contrarian No position in a quiet, wide-spread crypto market while also trading a related market.
- This bettor has won 91% of 109 resolved trades and is up about $30.8K lifetime.
- The $1.47K buy was 66% of the market’s entire 24-hour volume, showing conviction in a quiet order book.
- Entry at 79¢ has already moved to 82¢, suggesting the market is following their No position.
$1,470 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x42fa...1fc7 — No, $40,394 (91% win rate)
- 0x21ec...ccff — Yes, $29,093 (50% win rate)
- 0x0749...6de9 — Yes, $18,132
- 0xc1a5...f290 — No, $17,791 (99% win rate)
- 0xe47c...642a — Yes, $6,536
- 0x3057...7a96 — No, $6,375 (50% win rate)
- 0xc5ed...9374 — Yes, $5,729
- 0x3b7e...23eb — No, $5,594
- 0x58ff...7e02 — Yes, $3,170
- 0xa1e4...a26b — Yes, $3,165
Related Theses
Hyperliquid stays above $16
Covers 2 related markets
