What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
13 signals across 1 market · $40,089 tracked · resolves Dec 31, 2026
This event tracks whether CME Gold (GC) futures will settle at or above $6,000 by the end of December 2026. Traders are pricing the chance of a major gold rally, with PolySpotter highlighting smart money activity including a signal from a 77% win-rate macro bettor.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- New repeat macro bettor
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets and bought $2,000 of No in a relatively quiet gold market, though it has little proven track record.
$2,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 6.5 - 77% win-rate macro bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a 77% win rate bought No in a relatively quiet gold target market, making this a modest but followable signal despite the small size.
$1,638Wallet win rate: 73%Score: 5.0 - 90% winner buying NO
A profitable 90% winner made a $10.8k NO bet on a quiet gold market, with the current price cheaper than their entries.
$10,784Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 3.8 - Profitable 77% macro bettor
Surface due to a profitable 77% lifetime bettor making a sizable No buy that exceeded half of the market's recent daily volume.
$2,499Wallet win rate: 80%Score: 3.0 - Sharp bettor buying YES
Surfaced despite a weak low-activity signal because the wallet has an 89% resolved-bet win record and positive lifetime P&L, making this an actionable sharp-wallet copy trade.
$3,930Wallet win rate: 89%Score: 3.0 - Proven winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a profitable 77% lifetime bettor added a $4.9K No position in a relatively quiet gold market despite only weak low-activity signals.
$4,877Wallet win rate: 79%Score: 2.0 - 90% winner buying No
Sharp-wallet override: a 90% winner with positive P&L bought No with a bet equal to most of the market's daily volume.
$3,369Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 2.0 - 88% winner buying NO
Sharp wallet with an 88% resolved-bet win record bought No on a relatively quiet long-dated gold market, with the trade exceeding recent 24h volume.
$1,738Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 1.0 - Profitable macro bettor buys NO
Surface because a profitable high-volume wallet with an 80% resolved-bet win rate made a sizable No bet that dwarfs recent activity in a quiet long-dated gold market.
$1,680Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 1.0 - 90% winner buying NO
Sharp-wallet override: a 90% winner with positive P&L is buying No despite only a weak new-wallet signal.
$1,402Wallet win rate: 95%Score: 1.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x8b8762…3e8d$15,554 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 95% wins
- 0x74b4f9…6bea$7,327 · 1 market · 3 alerts · 80% wins
- 0x6dc4bf…6770$6,221 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 79% wins
- 0xcb4b13…b3f4$3,930 · 1 market · 1 alert · 89% wins
- 0x76aaa2…c4f4$2,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0x760907…6c4e$1,738 · 1 market · 1 alert · 95% wins
- 0xbace5a…3429$1,680 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x9d7369…216b$1,638 · 1 market · 1 alert · 73% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for Gold (GC) hitting $6,000 by end of December 2026?
The live odds are shown on the event page and reflect how traders are pricing the probability that the official CME settlement price for front-month Gold futures reaches or exceeds $6,000 before the deadline.
What outcome is being traded in this Gold prediction market?
This event currently centers on whether Gold (GC) futures will hit the $6,000 level by the end of December 2026. A “Yes” outcome wins if the official CME settlement price for the active front-month contract is at or above $6,000 on any trading day before resolution.
Is smart money betting on this Gold market?
PolySpotter tracks $1,638 in smart money activity across this event, including one recent signal tied to a 77% win-rate macro bettor. That can help users see whether experienced traders are taking a position on gold reaching $6,000.
When does the Gold $6,000 market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve after the final relevant trading day of December 2026, based on the official CME settlement price for the active month Gold futures contract.